Table 3.

Impact of population structure, asymptomatic infection and importing process on the epidemic progression.

Parameters	levels	Time to peak (Duration)	Maximum at the epidemic peak				Total
			New symptomatic	New asymptomatic	New hospitalizations	New deaths	Hospitalizations	Deaths
Default model		73 (164)	13,742	9451	1791	191	60,115	8283
Size of region	500,000	73 (164)	6871	4726	896	95	30,057	4141
	100,000	72 (147)	1374	945	179	19	6011	828
	50,000	73 (140)	687	473	90	10	3006	414
% Elderly	10%	77 (192)	9808	6770	995	103	43,925	4833
	30%	73 (161)	17,108	11,716	2500	273	75,632	11,716
	40%	73 (155)	19,650	13,407	3139	352	90,792	15,182
% Prior infection	30%	81 (189)	10,037	6875	1385	155	51,025	7147
	50%	110 (240+)	4070	2757	651	83	31,940	4744
	60%	141 (240+)	1953	1312	345	48	21,676	3356
% Self-quarantined	0.5%	73 (172)	13,545	9520	1758	188	58,178	8163
	5%	73 (171)	14,432	9239	1907	199	67,121	8715
	15%	73 (183)	15,990	8790	2185	217	84,913	9801
% Asymptomatic cases at the peak	10%	54 (136)	29,936	3719	3412	322	92,515	12,448
	30%	66 (160)	17,558	8501	2313	241	71,646	10,076
	60%	78 (192)	6453	11,792	964	110	35,036	5065
Infectivity of asymp. vs symptomatic	30%	78 (185)	12,223	8388	1651	182	59,076	8217
	70%	67 (159)	15,505	10,697	1939	199	61,088	8341
	100%	60 (145)	17,997	12,464	2135	210	62,104	8397
Imported young cases (per day)	0.25	76 (175)	13,740	9454	1789	191	60,091	8279
	1	69 (168)	13,760	9467	1793	191	60,139	8287
	2	65 (165)	13,760	9470	1794	191	60,164	8291
Importing duration (days)	5	75 (175)	13,730	9450	1790	190	60,095	8280
	10	73 (173)	13,739	9455	1790	191	60,109	8282
	30	72 (172)	13,738	9455	1791	191	60,116	8283