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. 2020 Aug 26;155(10):e203025. doi: 10.1001/jamasurg.2020.3025

Table 2. Study-Level Reoperation Rates Stratified by Studies of Actual vs Projected Changes.

Source Preguideline Postguideline Postguideline vs preguideline
No. Reoperation No. Reoperation % (95% CI) No. Reoperation No. Reoperation% (95% CI) Difference in % (95% CI) Odds ratio (95% CI)
Actual change in reoperation
Bhutani et al,15 2018 126 46 36.5 (28.1 to 45.5) 111 10 9.0 (4.4 to 15.9) −27.5 (−37.5 to −17.5) 0.17 (0.08 to 0.36)
Cate et al,162015 102 11 10.8 (4.8 to 16.8) 103 1 1.0 (0.0 to 5.3) −9.8 (−16.1 to −3.5) 0.08 (0.01 to 0.64)
Chavez-MacGreggor et al,17 2018 20 159 5100 25.3 (24.7 to 25.9) 13 807 2982 21.6 (20.9 to 22.3) −3.7 (−4.6 to −2.8) 0.81 (0.77 to 0.86)
Chung et al,18 2015 597 115 19.3 (16.1 to 22.4) 249 32 12.9 (8.7 to 17.0) −6.4 (−11.6 to −1.2) 0.62 (0.40 to 0.94)
Drohan et al,19 2018 188 26 13.8 (9.2 to 19.6) 411 32 7.8 (5.4 to 10.8) −6.0 (−11.6 to −0.5) 0.53 (0.30 to 0.91)
Heelan Gladden et al,20 2017 395 42 10.6 (7.8 to 14.1) 286 29 10.1 (6.9 to 14.2) −0.5 (−5.1 to 4.1) 0.95 (0.58 to 1.56)
Heidrich et al,21 2016 124 40 32.3 (24.1 to 41.2) 42 1 2.4 (0.1 to 12.6) −29.9 (−39.3 to −20.5) 0.05 (0.01 to 0.39)
Israel et al,23 2018 110 22 20.0 (13.0 to 28.7) 150 20 13.3 (8.3 to 19.8) −6.7 (−15.9 to 2.6) 0.62 (0.32 to 1.19)
Jiwa et al,24 2015 225 48 21.3 (16.2 to 27.3) 238 32 13.4 (9.4 to 18.5) −7.9 (−14.8 to −1.0) 0.57 (0.35 to 0.94)
Kantor et al,37 2019a 402 678 NR NR 118 900 NR NR −3.6 (NR) 0.76 (0.75 to 0.78)
Mamtani et al,40 2019 312 98 31.4 (26.3 to 36.9) 433 100 23.1 (19.2 to 27.4) −8.3 (−14.8 to −1.8) 0.66 (0.47 to 0.91)
Monaghan et al,39 2019 523 118 22.6 (19.1 to 26.4) 589 110 18.7 (15.6 to 22.1) −3.9 (−8.7 to 0.9) 0.79 (0.59 to 1.05)
Morrow et al,26 2017b 851 232 27.3 (24.3 to 30.4) 1125 205 18.2 (16.0 to 20.6) −9.0 (−12.8 to −5.3) 0.59 (0.48 to 0.74)
Parma et al,28 2018 15 3 20.0 (4.3 to 48.1) 85 11 12.9 (6.6 to 22.0) −7.1 (−28.5 to 14.4) 0.59 (0.14 to 2.45)
Patten et al,29 2017 402 82 20.4 (16.6 to 24.7) 552 90 16.3 (13.3 to 19.7) −4.1 (−9.1 to 0.1) 0.76 (0.55 to 1.06)
Pawloski et al,30 2016 123 42 34.1 (25.8 to 43.2) 148 34 23.0 (16.5 to 30.6) −11.2 (−21.9 to −0.4) 0.58 (0.34 to 0.98)
Philpott et al,41 2018 204 51 25.0 (19.2 to 31.5) 358 59 16.5 (12.8 to 20.7) −8.5 (−15.6 to −1.4) 0.59 (0.39 to 0.90)
Rosenberger et al,32 2016 504 108 21.4 (17.9 to 25.3) 701 106 15.1 (12.5 to 18.0) −6.3 (−10.8 to −1.9) 0.65 (0.49 to 0.88)
Schulman et al,33 2017c 13 297 2482 18.7 (18.0 to 19.3) 12 805 1851 14.5 (13.9 to 15.1) −4.2 (−5.1 to −3.3) 0.74 (0.69 to 0.79)
Van Den Bruele et al,38 2018 116 23 19.8 (13.0 to 28.3) 85 13 15.3 (8.4 to 24.7) −4.5 (−15.1 to 6.0) 0.73 (0.35 to 1.54)
Wall et al,36 2015 53 7 13.2 (5.5 to 25.3) 66 12 18.2 (9.8 to 29.6) 5.0 (−8.1 to 18.0) 1.46 (0.53 to 0.74)
Projected change in reoperation
Baliski and Pataky,14 2017 512 126 24.6 (20.9 to 28.6) 512 82 16.0 (12.9 to 19.5) −8.6 (−11.1 to −0.1) 0.58 (0.50 to 0.68)
Bell,43 2018 417 78 18.7 (15.1 to 22.8) 417 62 14.8 (11.6 to 18.7) −3.8 (−5.7 to −2.0) 0.76 (0.66 to 0.87)
Hogan et al,22 2014 450 111 24.7 (20.7 to 28.9) 450 70 15.6 (12.2 to 18.9) −9.1 (−11.8 to −6.5) 0.56 (0.47 to 0.67)
Merrill et al,25 2016 437 139 31.8 (27.5 to 36.4) 437 77 17.6 (14.2 to 21.5) −14.2 (−17.5 to −10.9) 0.46 (0.38 to 0.55)
Nayyar et al,27 2018 436 143 32.8 (28.4 to 37.4) 436 56 12.8 (9.9 to 16.3) −19.9 (−23.7 to −16.2) 0.30 (0.24 to 0.38)
Pickard et al,31 2015 317 62 19.6 (15.3 to 24.4) 317 55 17.4 (13.3 to 22.0) −2.2 (−3.8 to −0.1) 0.86 (0.78 to 0.96)
Singer et al,34 2016 462 149 32.3 (28.0 to 36.7) 462 88 19.0 (15.6 to 22.9) −13.2 (−16.3 to −10.1) 0.49 (0.42 to 0.58)
Tang et al,35 2017 2858 493 17.2 (15.9 to 18.7) 2858 441 15.4 (14.1 to 16.8) −1.8 (−2.3 to −1.3) 0.88 (0.84 to 0.91)
Truda,42 2019 779 102 13.1 (10.8 to 15.7) 779 50 6.4 (4.8 to 8.4) −6.7 (−8.4 to −4.9) 0.46 (0.37 to 0.56)
a

Preguideline and postguideline numerators and percentages were not reported (NR) in the publication.

b

Data provided by study authors.

c

Preguideline and postguideline percentages were derived from numerators and denominators reported in the publication (these differ from the reported percentages).