Table 5. Overall performance of exposure assessment methods by number of nearby stations.
Correlation coefficient between PM2.5 concentration predictions and observed PM2.5 concentration in μg/m3 stratified by the number of active monitoring sites within 50 miles of the prediction site for each day. The methods considered are: raw CMAQ output, ordinary least squares (“OLS”), inverse distance weighting (“IDW”), universal Kriging(“UK”), downscaler, random forests (“RF”), support vector regression (“SVR”) and Neural networks (“NN”). Methods use either CMAQ and/or other geographic covariates (“Covs”).
Active nearby stations | <5 | 5–9 | 10–19 | ≥ 20 |
---|---|---|---|---|
CMAQ | 0.50 | 0.56 | 0.59 | 0.59 |
OLS (CMAQ) | 0.60 | 0.69 | 0.73 | 0.77 |
OLS (Covs) | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.81 | 0.85 |
OLS (CMAQ+Covs) | 0.64 | 0.74 | 0.75 | 0.79 |
IDW | 0.82 | 0.91 | 0.92 | 0.90 |
UK (CMAQ) | 0.84 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.92 |
UK (Covs) | 0.83 | 0.91 | 0.92 | 0.92 |
UK (CMAQ+Covs) | 0.81 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.91 |
Downscaler(CMAQ) | 0.83 | 0.92 | 0.93 | 0.92 |
RF (CMAQ + Covs) | 0.69 | 0.78 | 0.81 | 0.84 |
SVM (CMAQ + Covs) | 0.74 | 0.86 | 0.87 | 0.87 |
NN (CMAQ + covs) | 0.74 | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.86 |