Table OA.4:
Contemporaneous and Cumulative Mortality (%)
| (1) Age 19 | (2) Age 20 | (3) Age 21 | (4) Age 22 | (5) Age 23 | (6) Age 24 | (7) Age 25 | (8) Age 26 | (9) Age 27 | (10) Age 28 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contemporaneous Mortality (%) | ||||||||||
| Female | ||||||||||
| Simulated Years | −0.003 | 0.001 | −0.004 | −0.005** | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.005 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.006* |
| Eligible, Age 0–18 | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.002) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.003) |
| Mean | 0.037 | 0.037 | 0.038 | 0.040 | 0.039 | 0.041 | 0.042 | 0.046 | 0.046 | 0.051 |
| Male | ||||||||||
| Simulated Years | −0.001 | 0.004 | −0.001 | 0.006 | −0.009** | −0.013** | 0.001 | −0.002 | −0.005 | −0.009 |
| Eligible, Age 0–18 | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.006) |
| Mean | 0.098 | 0.111 | 0.120 | 0.125 | 0.126 | 0.129 | 0.125 | 0.121 | 0.120 | 0.121 |
| All | ||||||||||
| Simulated Years | −0.002 | 0.003 | −0.003 | 0.000 | −0.005* | −0.007** | −0.002 | −0.001 | −0.002 | −0.001 |
| Eligible, Age 0–18 | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.002) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.004) |
| Mean | 0.068 | 0.075 | 0.080 | 0.084 | 0.083 | 0.086 | 0.084 | 0.084 | 0.084 | 0.087 |
| Cumulative Mortality (%) | ||||||||||
| Female | ||||||||||
| Simulated Years | −0.003 | −0.001 | −0.005 | −0.010* | −0.011 | −0.012 | −0.017* | −0.016* | −0.015* | −0.009 |
| Eligible, Age 0–18 | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.007) | (0.008) | (0.009) | (0.008) | (0.009) | (0.010) |
| Mean | 0.037 | 0.074 | 0.112 | 0.152 | 0.191 | 0.232 | 0.274 | 0.320 | 0.367 | 0.417 |
| Male | ||||||||||
| Simulated Years | −0.001 | 0.003 | 0.002 | 0.007 | −0.002 | −0.015 | −0.015 | −0.017 | −0.022 | −0.031* |
| Eligible, Age 0–18 | (0.004) | (0.007) | (0.008) | (0.009) | (0.010) | (0.012) | (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.014) | (0.017) |
| Mean | 0.098 | 0.209 | 0.329 | 0.454 | 0.579 | 0.707 | 0.831 | 0.951 | 1.070 | 1.191 |
| All | ||||||||||
| Simulated Years | −0.002 | 0.001 | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.006 | −0.013* | −0.015* | −0.016** | −0.018** | −0.020* |
| Eligible, Age 0–18 | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.006) | (0.007) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.011) |
| Mean | 0.068 | 0.143 | 0.223 | 0.306 | 0.389 | 0.475 | 0.559 | 0.643 | 0.726 | 0.812 |
| Female Observations | 4,913,139 | 4,913,139 | 4,913,139 | 4,913,139 | 4,913,139 | 4,913,139 | 4,913,139 | 4,913,139 | 4,913,139 | 4,913,139 |
| Male Observations | 5,132,023 | 5,132,023 | 5,132,023 | 5,132,023 | 5,132,023 | 5,132,023 | 5,132,023 | 5,132,023 | 5,132,023 | 5,132,023 |
| All Observations | 10,045,162 | 10,045,162 | 10,045,162 | 10,045,162 | 10,045,162 | 10,045,162 | 10,045,162 | 10,045,162 | 10,045,162 | 10,045,162 |
Note.
***
p < 0.01,
**
p < 0.05,
*
p < 0.10.
Standard errors in parentheses are clustered by state. Contemporaneous mortality indicates mortality at a given age, measured using SSA death records. Cumulative mortality indicates mortality by a given age, starting at age 19. Coefficients for each age are obtained from separate reduced form regressions of mortality on simulated years eligible, ages 0–18. The specification includes fixed effects for birth cohort by month and for state of residence at age 15 (the youngest age at which we observe all individuals in our sample).