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. 2020 Aug;181:104602. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2018.12.008

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© 2018 The Authors

This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

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Fig. 2 — Transmission of lumpy skin disease virus (LSDV) in Albania in 2016. (a,b) Transmission kernels for LSDV plotted on a (a) linear or (b) logarithmic scale. (c,d) Seasonal transmission rate of LSDV when it depends on (c) daily mean temperature or (d) simulated relative abundance of Stomoxys calcitrans, a putative vector of LSDV. The plots show the transmission rate, h(t) (black line, left-hand axis), and the daily incidence of newly reported herds (grey bars, right axis). The fat-tailed kernel and the transmission rate dependent on relative vector abundance yielded the best fits to the outbreak data. (For interpretation of the references to colour in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article).