Skip to main content
. 2020 Sep 1;73(3):780–788. doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2020.08.115

Table II.

Parameters used for probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA)a

Age Parameter Distribution Values
60 COVID mortality8 Normal Mean: 0.0193
SD: 0.00695
Rupture mortality16 Beta a: 34, b: 56
Elective mortality EVAR15 Normal Mean 0.003
SD: 0.001
Elective mortality OSR15 Normal Mean: 0.012
SD: 0.01
70 COVID mortality8 Normal Mean: 0.0428
SD: 0.0150
Rupture mortality16 Beta a: 104, b: 141
Elective mortality EVAR15 Normal Mean: 0.008
SD: 0.0015
Elective mortality OSR15 Normal Mean: 0.025
SD: 0.015
80 COVID mortality8 Normal Mean: 0.078
SD: 0.0238
Rupture mortality16 Beta a: 70, b: 85
Elective mortality EVAR15 Normal Mean: 0.0125
SD: 0.01
Elective mortality OSR15 Normal Mean: 0.0755
SD: 0.02
Aneurysm rupture risk
Size Parameter Distribution Values
5.5-5.9 cm Rupture risk14,17 Triangular Center: 0.094
Lower bound: 0.01
Upper bound: 0.11
6-6.9 cm Rupture risk14,17 Triangular Center: 0.102
Lower bound: 0.10
Upper bound: 0.22
>7 cm Rupture risk14,17 Triangular Center: 0.325
Lower bound: 0.30
Upper bound: 0.50
Ratio of inpatient to outpatient COVID contraction
Parameter Distribution Values
Ratio inpatient:outpatient contraction13 Normal Mean: 2
SD: 1

EVAR, Endovascular aortic aneurysm repair; OSR, open surgical repair; SD, standard deviation.

a

PSA samples from within a given distribution of parameters and is repeated for numerous iterations (n = 1000). The type of distribution used and the parameters used to define the shape are provided.