Table III.

Probabilistic sensitivity analyses for endovascular aortic aneurysm repair (EVAR) considering a 6-month time horizon (top) and open surgical repair with a 3-month time horizon (bottom)

Age	Community risk of COVID-19 infection	Aneurysm size, cm
		5.5-5.9	6-6.9	>7
Endovascular repair (6 months)
60	1%	0.019 (0.018-0.019)	0.040 (0.040-0.041)	0.121 (0.119-0.122)
	10%	0.016 (0.015-0.016)	0.038 (0.037-0.039)	0.119 (0.118-0.121)
	30%	0.014 (0.014-0.015)	0.036 (0.035-0.036)	0.117 (0.116-0.119)
70	1%	0.017 (0.017-0.017)	0.045 (0.044-0.046)	0.014 (0.014-0.015)
	10%	0.013 (0.011-0.013)	0.038 (0.037-0.039)	0.137 (0.136-0.139)
	30%	0.008 (0.007-0.009)	0.034 (0.033-0.035)	0.133 (0.131-0.134)
80	1%	0.015 (0.014-0.015)	0.044 (0.043-0.045)	0.152 (0.151-0.154)
	10%	0.002 (0.001-0.003)	0.032 (0.030-0.033)	0.140 (0.138-0.142)
	30%	0.003 (0.005-0.002)	0.024 (0.023-0.026)	0.130 (0.128-0.132)
Open surgical repair (3 months)
60	1%	0.003 (0.002-0.004)	0.009 (0.008-0.009)	0.053 (0.052-0.054)
	10%	0.005 (0.004-0.005)	0.007 (0.006-0.007)	0.051 (0.050-0.052)
	30%	0.009 (0.008-0.009)	0.003 (0.002-0.004)	0.048 (0.047-0.049)
70	1%	0.012 (0.011-0.013)	<Difference 0.001	0.055 (0.054-0.056)
	10%	0.017 (0.018-0.016)	0.003 (0.002-0.004)	0.051 (0.050-0.052)
	30%	0.024 (0.023-0.026)	0.011 (0.010-0.012)	0.044 (0.042-0.045)
80	1%	0.060 (0.059-0.062)	0.044 (0.043-0.046)	0.014 (0.012-0.015)
	10%	0.066 (0.065-0.067)	0.051 (0.049-0.052)	0.009 (0.007-0.11)
	30%	0.079 (0.078-0.081)	0.064 (0.062-0.066)	0.003 (0.001-0.005)

The mean absolute difference in probability of survival between the operative and delayed repair strategies is given with 95% credibility intervals. Values are italicized when delayed repair was the dominant strategy.