Skip to main content
. 2020 Jul 30;8(8):1158. doi: 10.3390/microorganisms8081158

Table 2.

Comparison of tested Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models.

Country Model RMSE MAE MAPE
Ukraine (1, 1, 0) 182.403 86.857 4.70244
(0, 2, 0) 184.534 84.6694 4.75145
(3, 2, 0) 140.184 87.0874 4.86564
(3, 0, 0) 140.834 83.9104 5.02043
(2, 2, 0) 141.809 86.6818 5.08194
Romania (3, 2, 2) 72.2811 54.8283 1.40016
(1, 2, 3) 77.4246 57.1017 1.45906
(2, 2, 3) 74.5154 55.2809 1.48125
(3, 2, 3) 76.4564 56.4977 1.52647
(2, 2, 2) 78.7986 58.4657 1.53212
Republic of Moldova (3, 2, 2) 61.1658 43.5817 2.76751
(3, 2, 1) 60.7849 43.5131 2.77257
(2, 2, 1) 60.6597 43.5749 2.77809
(3, 2, 3) 61.6063 43.8593 2.84718
(2, 2, 3) 61.341 43.8542 2.85937
Serbia (3, 1, 1) 43.0079 28.8086 2.16733
(2, 1, 3) 43.0409 29.127 2.17147
(1, 1, 3) 42.8633 29.1174 2.17271
(3, 1, 0) 42.8659 28.847 2.17729
(2, 1, 2) 42.8686 29.1841 2.17814
Bulgaria (1, 0, 3) 33.4732 23.1431 2.98154
(2, 0, 2) 33.7635 23.0537 3.04647
(3, 0, 0) 33.5995 22.8279 3.08918
(3, 2, 0) 35.4064 23.7486 3.08997
(2, 2, 2) 78.7986 58.4657 1.53212
Hungary (1, 2, 0) 23.0452 15.101 2.11239
(0, 2, 3) 21.7985 13.6316 2.15973
(3, 2, 0) 22.6729 14.2714 2.16096
(3, 0, 0) 22.6563 14.488 2.16571
(2, 2, 3) 21.9873 13.6272 2.16876
USA (1, 1, 0) 6539.46 4673.82 3.21569
(0, 2, 0) 6541.2 4710.64 3.2431
(3, 2, 1) 5818.42 4379.88 3.29508
(1, 2, 3) 5868.51 4434.36 3.29553
(2, 2, 3) 5888.31 4430.09 3.29999
Brazil (0, 2, 1) 6134.91 3838.17 4.10596
(2, 1, 0) 6493.37 3521.69 4.14127
(2, 2, 1) 5454.19 3118.73 4.15452
(1, 2, 0) 6515.51 3598.89 4.16568
(3, 2, 1) 5457.52 3082.2 4.1698
India (0, 2, 0) 642.607 416.132 2.78051
(1, 1, 0) 574.812 376.235 2.7951
(2, 1, 0) 570.378 373.247 3.06874
(1, 1, 2) 524.071 358.294 3.19978
(3, 0, 1) 543.562 358.125 3.29689