Table 2.
Comparison of tested Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models.
Country | Model | RMSE | MAE | MAPE |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ukraine | (1, 1, 0) | 182.403 | 86.857 | 4.70244 |
(0, 2, 0) | 184.534 | 84.6694 | 4.75145 | |
(3, 2, 0) | 140.184 | 87.0874 | 4.86564 | |
(3, 0, 0) | 140.834 | 83.9104 | 5.02043 | |
(2, 2, 0) | 141.809 | 86.6818 | 5.08194 | |
Romania | (3, 2, 2) | 72.2811 | 54.8283 | 1.40016 |
(1, 2, 3) | 77.4246 | 57.1017 | 1.45906 | |
(2, 2, 3) | 74.5154 | 55.2809 | 1.48125 | |
(3, 2, 3) | 76.4564 | 56.4977 | 1.52647 | |
(2, 2, 2) | 78.7986 | 58.4657 | 1.53212 | |
Republic of Moldova | (3, 2, 2) | 61.1658 | 43.5817 | 2.76751 |
(3, 2, 1) | 60.7849 | 43.5131 | 2.77257 | |
(2, 2, 1) | 60.6597 | 43.5749 | 2.77809 | |
(3, 2, 3) | 61.6063 | 43.8593 | 2.84718 | |
(2, 2, 3) | 61.341 | 43.8542 | 2.85937 | |
Serbia | (3, 1, 1) | 43.0079 | 28.8086 | 2.16733 |
(2, 1, 3) | 43.0409 | 29.127 | 2.17147 | |
(1, 1, 3) | 42.8633 | 29.1174 | 2.17271 | |
(3, 1, 0) | 42.8659 | 28.847 | 2.17729 | |
(2, 1, 2) | 42.8686 | 29.1841 | 2.17814 | |
Bulgaria | (1, 0, 3) | 33.4732 | 23.1431 | 2.98154 |
(2, 0, 2) | 33.7635 | 23.0537 | 3.04647 | |
(3, 0, 0) | 33.5995 | 22.8279 | 3.08918 | |
(3, 2, 0) | 35.4064 | 23.7486 | 3.08997 | |
(2, 2, 2) | 78.7986 | 58.4657 | 1.53212 | |
Hungary | (1, 2, 0) | 23.0452 | 15.101 | 2.11239 |
(0, 2, 3) | 21.7985 | 13.6316 | 2.15973 | |
(3, 2, 0) | 22.6729 | 14.2714 | 2.16096 | |
(3, 0, 0) | 22.6563 | 14.488 | 2.16571 | |
(2, 2, 3) | 21.9873 | 13.6272 | 2.16876 | |
USA | (1, 1, 0) | 6539.46 | 4673.82 | 3.21569 |
(0, 2, 0) | 6541.2 | 4710.64 | 3.2431 | |
(3, 2, 1) | 5818.42 | 4379.88 | 3.29508 | |
(1, 2, 3) | 5868.51 | 4434.36 | 3.29553 | |
(2, 2, 3) | 5888.31 | 4430.09 | 3.29999 | |
Brazil | (0, 2, 1) | 6134.91 | 3838.17 | 4.10596 |
(2, 1, 0) | 6493.37 | 3521.69 | 4.14127 | |
(2, 2, 1) | 5454.19 | 3118.73 | 4.15452 | |
(1, 2, 0) | 6515.51 | 3598.89 | 4.16568 | |
(3, 2, 1) | 5457.52 | 3082.2 | 4.1698 | |
India | (0, 2, 0) | 642.607 | 416.132 | 2.78051 |
(1, 1, 0) | 574.812 | 376.235 | 2.7951 | |
(2, 1, 0) | 570.378 | 373.247 | 3.06874 | |
(1, 1, 2) | 524.071 | 358.294 | 3.19978 | |
(3, 0, 1) | 543.562 | 358.125 | 3.29689 |