Table 2. Maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) for the parameters of the preferred demographic model for goose domestication history (see text) with their 95% confidence intervals (CI).
| Model | Parameter | MLE | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Divergence with changing gene flow patterns | ANCSIZE | 1112 | 378.95 - 7990.65 |
| T1 | 5319 | 2014.45 - 6503.75 | |
| M1WD | 4.25x10−4 | 1.21x10−7 - 6.28x10−4 | |
| M1DW | 5.35x10−4 | 2.88x10−4 - 6.45x10−4 | |
| T2 | 159 | 88.9 - 476.25 | |
| M2WD | 1.72x10−3 | 1.30x10−3 - 2.23x10−3 | |
| M2DW | 6.69x10−4 | 4.17x10−4 - 8.00x10−4 | |
| NWILD | 2504 | 2352.4 - 2680.25 | |
| NDOM | 959 | 833.95 - 1040.55 |
ANCSIZE, effective population size of ancestral population; T1, time of divergence in generations; NDOM, effective population size for domestic geese; NWILD, effective population size for graylags; T2, estimate of time in generations when the migration matrix switched; M1WD migration rate from wild to domestic following T1; M1DW migration rate from domestic to wild following T1; M2WD migration rate from wild to domestic following T2; M2DW migration rate from domestic to wild following T2.