Table 2.
Definition of suspected infection | Entire hospital cohort (n=82 653) | Suspected infection validation cohort (n=674) | ||||||
Sensitivity (95% CI) | Specificity (95% CI) | PPV (95% CI) |
NPV (95% CI) |
Sensitivity (95% CI) | Specificity (95% CI) | PPV (95% CI) |
NPV (95% CI) |
|
Any culture and two doses of antimicrobials (equivalent to Sepsis-3 clinical criteria) | 0.887 (0.799 to 0.964) | 0.985 (0.978 to 0.991) | 0.881 (0.833 to 0.926) | 0.986 (0.973 to 0.996) | 0.926 (0.896 to 0.955) | 0.893 (0.859 to 0.923) | 0.881 (0.833 to 0.926) | 0.934 (0.895 to 0.969) |
Any culture and 4 days of antimicrobials | 0.853 (0.761 to 0.935) | 0.988 (0.981 to 0.993) | 0.899 (0.848 to 0.945) | 0.981 (0.968 to 0.992) | 0.891 (0.855 to 0.925) | 0.915 (0.885 to 0.942) | 0.899 (0.848 to 0.945) | 0.907 (0.866 to 0.945) |
Blood culture and two doses of antimicrobials | 0.739 (0.639 to 0.832) | 0.990 (0.985 to 0.995) | 0.906 (0.853 to 0.952) | 0.967 (0.952 to 0.980) | 0.772 (0.724 to 0.818) | 0.931 (0.904 to 0.956) | 0.906 (0.853 to 0.952) | 0.826 (0.781 to 0.871) |
Blood cultures and 4 days of antimicrobials (equivalent to Adult Sepsis Event definition) | 0.718 (0.615 to 0.813) | 0.992 (0.986 to 0.996) | 0.917 (0.862 to 0.962) | 0.965 (0.949 to 0.978) | 0.749 (0.699 to 0.796) | 0.942 (0.917 to 0.964) | 0.917 (0.862 to 0.962) | 0.814 (0.769 to 0.859) |
NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value.