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. 2020 Sep 2;11:4408. doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-18317-8

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© The Author(s) 2020

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Fig. 6 — We allow the effect of temperature exposures above 30 °C to vary across cultivars. Impacts are reported as the percentage change in mean yield under +1 to +3 °C warming scenarios relative to historical climate. Each 2-bar cluster shows warming impacts for the cultivars with the largest and smallest heat effect. Bars show 95% confidence intervals using standard errors clustered by province-year for n = 18,881 yield observations. .