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. 2020 Sep 4;4(3):515–559. doi: 10.1007/s41885-020-00071-2

Table 20.

Mortality Projection – Average Impact (Lagged SI)

Dependent variable:
Weekly New Mortality Growth (t + 14) Weekly New Mortality Growth (t + 21) Weekly New Mortality Growth (t + 28)
(1) (2) (3)
Stringency (t) −0.013319** −0.010201*** −0.007504*
(0.005999) (0.003345) (0.004347)
Stringency (t-1) −0.006240** −0.003815 −0.002709
(0.002865) (0.002528) (0.003899)
New Mortality Growth (t-1) 0.087064 0.004278 −0.024800
(0.060272) (0.043168) (0.046638)
Fixed effects? Y Y Y
Observations 1276 933 593
R2 0.065489 0.031600 0.015925
F Statistic 26.746620*** 8.821250*** 2.610737*

Note: *,**,*** correspond to 10%, 5% and 1% significance, respectively

HAC robust standard errors, clustered by country. Time and Country FEs

Note: Specification is same as the benchmark, except that a one-day lagged SI is added. Results are similar to those in the benchmark