Fig. 1.

Estimated reported infections by county.

This plot shows the ratio of confirmed cases to estimated infected in each county on $T_1=$ March 10 for 5 day lag, and 13 for 8 day lag. $T_0$ is February 23rd. We use the full European entry. Estimated infected are given by the reported on $T_1+Lag$ and divided by $\alpha$.