Fig. 2.

Reported deaths per estimated infections by county.

This plot shows the ratio of cohort-matched confirmed deaths to estimated infected in each county on Mar 13th, taking into account an 8 day lag in reporting. We use the full European Entry. We estimate fatality-lag time as a log-normal distribution with mean 14.5 and standard deviation 6.7. Estimated infected are computed for each daily cohort using the National-$\alpha$ of 4.27%. We omit New York City for visual clarity.