Table 4.

Prediction of the incidence of AHC (1/100 000) in 2018 based on SARIMA model

Month	Observed value	Predicted value	95% CI
January	0.2569	0.3041	0.1035–0.8938
February	0.1886	0.2481	0.0606–1.0164
March	0.3544	0.3346	0.0771–1.4520
April	0.3544	0.4131	0.0936–1.8228
May	0.6439	0.5627	0.1265–2.5022
June	0.5528	0.6334	0.1417–2.8319
July	0.5138	0.5721	0.1274–2.5696
August	0.5756	0.5956	0.1321–2.6866
September	0.3935	0.9946	0.2196–4.5049
October	0.3382	0.4738	0.1042–2.1553
November	0.4292	0.3107	0.0680–1.4194
December	0.4292	0.2358	0.0514–1.0820