Predicted relative change in HIV mortality (A) and incidence (B) in 1 year from April 1, 2020, from a 6-month disruption of specific HIV services in sub-Saharan Africa, for 50% of the population
Datapoints are point estimates with 95% uncertainty intervals indicated by whiskers. ART=antiretroviral therapy. EMOD=Epidemiological MODeling software. PMTCT=prevention of mother-to-child transmission. VMMC=voluntary medical male circumcision.