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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Sep 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Am Acad Dermatol. 2020 Apr 29;83(3):780–787. doi: 10.1016/j.jaad.2020.04.109

Table 1.

Association between sensitivity and PPV by study.

Author (year) Data as observed in publication Adjusted Malignancy Prevalence of 5% Adjusted Malignancy Prevalence of 1% Adjusted Malignancy Prevalence of 0.1%
Number of Readers Average Sensitivity (SD) Average Specificity (SD) Average Malignancy Prevalence Positive Predictive Value Slope Coefficient* (95% CI) p-value Slope Coefficient** (95% CI) p-value Slope Coefficient** (95% CI) p-value Slope Coefficient** (95% CI) p-value
Monheit (2011) 39 Dermatologists 0.78 (0.13) 0.43 (0.18) 0.50 0.58 −0.49 (−1.26,0.27) 0.20 −1.59 (−4.31,1.13) 0.24 −7.20 (−19.70,5.28) 0.25 −70.53 (−193.0,51.99) 0.25
Ferris (2015) 12 Dermatologists
10 Residents
8 Physician Assistants
0.71 (0.15) 0.58 (0.18) 0.38 0.53 −1.31 (−2.01,−0.60) 0.001 −3.88 (−5.93,−1.82) 0.001 −17.12 (−26.20, −8.05) 0.001 −166.36 (−254.56,−78.18) 0.001
Marchetti (2018) 8 Dermatologists 0.82 (0.11) 0.60 (0.13) 0.51 0.69 −0.10 (−1.84, 1.64) 0.90 −1.13 (−7.10,4.83) 0.70 −4.99 (−31.59,21.60) 0.66 −48.54 (−307.68,210.60) 0.66
Marchetti (2019) 8 Dermatologists
9 Residents
0.65 (0.17) 0.75 (0.09) 0.33 0.57 0.03 (−1.49, 1.54) 0.97 0.02 (−3.66, 3.69) 0.99 0.03 (−15.53, 15.59) 0.99 0.19 (−149.50, 149.88) 0.99
Tschandl (2019) 283 Dermatologists
118 Residents
83 General Practitioners
27 Not Specified
0.76 (0.13) 0.78 (0.11) 0.36 0.67 0.10 (0.01,0.19) 0.04 −0.001 (−0.09, 0.09) 0.98 0.24 (−0.19,0.67) 0.33 −7.20 (−19.70,5.28) 0.25
*

Slope coefficient for the association between sensitivity and positive predictive value based on the malignancy prevalence observed in the publication

**

Slope coefficient for the association between sensitivity and positive predictive value based on an adjusted malignancy prevalence

Unable to extract data from 1 reader

CI = confidence interval; SD = standard deviation