Table 1.
Association between sensitivity and PPV by study.
| Author (year) | Data as observed in publication | Adjusted Malignancy Prevalence of 5% | Adjusted Malignancy Prevalence of 1% | Adjusted Malignancy Prevalence of 0.1% | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of Readers | Average Sensitivity (SD) | Average Specificity (SD) | Average Malignancy Prevalence | Positive Predictive Value | Slope Coefficient* (95% CI) | p-value | Slope Coefficient** (95% CI) | p-value | Slope Coefficient** (95% CI) | p-value | Slope Coefficient** (95% CI) | p-value | |
| Monheit (2011) | 39 Dermatologists | 0.78 (0.13) | 0.43 (0.18) | 0.50 | 0.58 | −0.49 (−1.26,0.27) | 0.20 | −1.59 (−4.31,1.13) | 0.24 | −7.20 (−19.70,5.28) | 0.25 | −70.53 (−193.0,51.99) | 0.25 |
| Ferris (2015) | 12 Dermatologists 10 Residents† 8 Physician Assistants |
0.71 (0.15) | 0.58 (0.18) | 0.38 | 0.53 | −1.31 (−2.01,−0.60) | 0.001 | −3.88 (−5.93,−1.82) | 0.001 | −17.12 (−26.20, −8.05) | 0.001 | −166.36 (−254.56,−78.18) | 0.001 |
| Marchetti (2018) | 8 Dermatologists | 0.82 (0.11) | 0.60 (0.13) | 0.51 | 0.69 | −0.10 (−1.84, 1.64) | 0.90 | −1.13 (−7.10,4.83) | 0.70 | −4.99 (−31.59,21.60) | 0.66 | −48.54 (−307.68,210.60) | 0.66 |
| Marchetti (2019) | 8 Dermatologists 9 Residents |
0.65 (0.17) | 0.75 (0.09) | 0.33 | 0.57 | 0.03 (−1.49, 1.54) | 0.97 | 0.02 (−3.66, 3.69) | 0.99 | 0.03 (−15.53, 15.59) | 0.99 | 0.19 (−149.50, 149.88) | 0.99 |
| Tschandl (2019) | 283 Dermatologists 118 Residents 83 General Practitioners 27 Not Specified |
0.76 (0.13) | 0.78 (0.11) | 0.36 | 0.67 | 0.10 (0.01,0.19) | 0.04 | −0.001 (−0.09, 0.09) | 0.98 | 0.24 (−0.19,0.67) | 0.33 | −7.20 (−19.70,5.28) | 0.25 |
Slope coefficient for the association between sensitivity and positive predictive value based on the malignancy prevalence observed in the publication
Slope coefficient for the association between sensitivity and positive predictive value based on an adjusted malignancy prevalence
Unable to extract data from 1 reader
CI = confidence interval; SD = standard deviation