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. 2020 Sep 11;53:56–62.e2. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2020.08.016

Table S1.

Associations of race and Latinx subgroup composition with COVID-19 cases in counties adjusting all risk factors combined, by region (full results)

Variable Northeast
Midwest
South
West
IRR (95% CI) IRR (95% CI) IRR (95% CI) IRR (95% CI)
Percentage of Blacks 1.016∗ [1.000, 1.033] 1.057∗∗∗ [1.027, 1.089] 1.026∗∗∗ [1.020, 1.032] 1.060∗ [1.002, 1.120]
Percentage of Asians 0.974 [0.949, 1.001] 0.931 [0.843, 1.028] 0.966 [0.917, 1.018] 0.963 [0.927, 1.000]
Percentage of Mexicans 1.032 [0.974, 1.093] 1.016 [0.993, 1.039] 0.985 [0.968, 1.001] 1.008 [0.978, 1.039]
Percentage of Puerto Ricans 1.067∗∗∗ [1.030, 1.106] 1.207∗ [1.032, 1.412] 0.958∗ [0.918, 1.000] 0.877 [0.539, 1.426]
Percentage of Cubans 0.882 [0.763, 1.019] 1.213 [0.894, 1.647] 0.957 [0.914, 1.001] 0.567 [0.185, 1.743]
Percentage of Central Americans 1.130∗∗ [1.038, 1.231] 1.194∗ [1.014, 1.405] 1.098∗∗ [1.035, 1.165] 0.961 [0.811, 1.139]
Percentage of South Americans 1.005 [0.916, 1.102] 0.670∗∗∗ [0.536, 0.836] 0.885 [0.779, 1.004] 1.367 [0.800, 2.338]
Percentage of Other Latinx-origin 1.031 [0.990, 1.073] 0.760∗∗ [0.621, 0.930] 1.059 [0.922, 1.217] 0.995 [0.962, 1.029]
Percentage of Foreign born 1.015 [0.975, 1.057] 1.119∗ [1.023, 1.222] 1.062∗∗ [1.024, 1.101] 1.050 [0.993, 1.109]
Days since the first case 1.146∗∗∗ [1.088, 1.207] 1.074∗∗∗ [1.047, 1.102] 1.092∗∗∗ [1.068, 1.117] 1.068∗∗∗ [1.045, 1.091]
Days since the first case squared 0.999∗∗∗ [0.999, 1.000] 0.999∗∗∗ [0.999, 1.000] 0.999∗∗∗ [0.999, 1.000] 1.000∗∗∗ [1.000, 1.000]
Population density (log) 1.151 [0.943, 1.406] 0.952 [0.747, 1.212] 0.878∗ [0.786, 0.980] 0.942 [0.879, 1.010]
Percentage of age 19–64 1.029 [0.987, 1.073] 0.972 [0.919, 1.027] 0.957 [0.904, 1.012] 0.990 [0.950, 1.032]
Percentage of age 65 and over 1.069∗ [1.012, 1.129] 0.956 [0.908, 1.006] 0.979 [0.906, 1.057] 1.005 [0.959, 1.053]
Percentage of females 0.992 [0.953, 1.034] 0.967 [0.850, 1.099] 0.906∗∗ [0.853, 0.963] 0.905∗ [0.829, 0.989]
Median household income (log) 4.761∗∗∗ [2.242, 10.109] 0.700 [0.223, 2.201] 1.005 [0.457, 2.211] 1.167 [0.331, 4.121]
Income Inequality (80/20 ratio) 1.091 [0.900, 1.323] 0.792∗∗∗ [0.707, 0.887] 0.986 [0.842, 1.153] 1.252 [0.943, 1.663]
Unemployment rate 0.909 [0.814, 1.015] 0.960 [0.906, 1.018] 0.901∗∗ [0.847, 0.959] 0.945 [0.872, 1.024]
White/nonwhite segregation 1.004 [0.994, 1.014] 1.003 [0.997, 1.010] 1.006 [1.000, 1.012] 1.016∗∗ [1.006, 1.026]
White/Black segregation 1.003 [0.997, 1.008] 1.001 [0.998, 1.004] 0.996∗∗ [0.994, 0.999] 1.001 [0.997, 1.006]
Chronic disease index 1.428∗∗∗ [1.270, 1.606] 0.998 [0.940, 1.058] 1.091 [0.961, 1.240] 0.899 [0.774, 1.043]
Average household size 1.654 [0.960, 2.848] 1.478 [0.768, 2.846] 1.365 [0.367, 5.078] 2.525∗ [1.075, 5.927]
Percentage of severe housing problems 1.025∗∗∗ [1.013, 1.037] 1.001 [0.967, 1.035] 1.015 [0.986, 1.045] 1.004 [0.952, 1.059]
Percentage of public transportation 0.981∗∗∗ [0.971, 0.991] 1.014 [0.904, 1.137] 1.040∗∗∗ [1.017, 1.064] 1.022 [0.987, 1.058]
Healthcare shortage 0.843∗ [0.734, 0.967] 0.941 [0.785, 1.127] 0.989 [0.808, 1.210] 1.162 [0.726, 1.859]
Percentage of uninsured 0.966 [0.906, 1.030] 0.977∗ [0.956, 0.998] 1.021 [0.966, 1.079] 1.022 [0.958, 1.090]
Constant 0.000∗∗∗ [0.000, 0.000] 0.590 [0.000, 39,212,668.926] 0.131 [0.000, 453,208.228] 0.000 [0.000, 946.336]
lnalpha –1.276∗∗∗ [–1.653, –0.899] –0.428∗∗∗ [–0.624, –0.232] –0.408∗∗∗ [–0.650, –0.167] –0.443∗∗ [–0.756, –0.131]
S.D.(constant) 0.000 [0.000, 0.000] 0.301∗ [0.136, 0.403] 0.406∗∗∗ [0.270, 0.507] 0.438∗ [0.058, 0.616]
N 216 1055 1422 413
AIC 2862.844 9414.555 14,960.464 3692.637

P < .05; ∗∗ P < .01; ∗∗∗P < .001.