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. 2020 Sep 11;53:56–62.e2. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2020.08.016

Table S3.

Associations of racial-ethnic composition with COVID-19 deaths in counties adjusting all risk factors combined, by region

Variable Northeast
Midwest
South
West
IRR (95% CI) IRR (95% CI) IRR (95% CI) IRR (95% CI)
Percentage of Blacks 1.029∗∗ [1.008, 1.049] 1.018 [0.991, 1.046] 1.027∗∗∗ [1.019, 1.035] 0.990 [0.952, 1.028]
Percentage of Latinx 1.045∗∗ [1.012, 1.078] 0.969 [0.913, 1.029] 0.990∗ [0.982, 0.998] 0.974∗ [0.953, 0.994]
Percentage of Asians 0.974 [0.915, 1.036] 0.825∗∗ [0.732, 0.930] 1.015 [0.964, 1.069] 0.957 [0.896, 1.022]
Percentage of Foreign born 1.012 [0.949, 1.079] 1.185∗∗ [1.060, 1.326] 1.048∗∗∗ [1.021, 1.076] 1.123∗∗∗ [1.069, 1.180]
Days since the first case 1.202∗∗∗ [1.137, 1.270] 1.066∗ [1.012, 1.124] 1.138∗∗∗ [1.064, 1.218] 1.153∗∗ [1.051, 1.265]
Days since the first case squared 0.999∗∗∗ [0.999, 0.999] 1.000 [0.999, 1.000] 0.999∗∗ [0.999, 1.000] 0.999∗∗ [0.999, 1.000]
Population density (log) 1.093 [0.792, 1.508] 1.111 [0.879, 1.405] 0.864∗ [0.748, 0.999] 1.041 [0.834, 1.300]
Percentage of age 19–64 1.038 [0.971, 1.109] 1.036 [0.942, 1.140] 0.925∗∗∗ [0.890, 0.960] 1.051 [0.921, 1.200]
Percentage of age 65 and over 1.089 [0.986, 1.203] 1.023 [0.936, 1.117] 0.993 [0.936, 1.054] 1.000 [0.910, 1.099]
Percentage of females 1.307∗∗∗ [1.207, 1.415] 1.072 [0.937, 1.226] 0.963 [0.916, 1.012] 1.028 [0.820, 1.288]
Median household income (log) 8.858∗∗∗ [4.874, 16.101] 0.870 [0.158, 4.786] 0.522 [0.266, 1.026] 0.210 [0.041, 1.062]
Income Inequality (80/20 ratio) 1.035 [0.882, 1.214] 0.886 [0.568, 1.383] 1.015 [0.869, 1.186] 0.855 [0.605, 1.208]
Unemployment rate 0.927 [0.743, 1.157] 1.149 [0.992, 1.330] 0.919∗ [0.854, 0.987] 0.989 [0.914, 1.071]
White/non-White segregation 0.993 [0.981, 1.006] 1.017∗∗∗ [1.007, 1.027] 1.004 [0.994, 1.014] 1.035∗∗∗ [1.021, 1.050]
White/Black segregation 0.999 [0.990, 1.008] 0.998 [0.995, 1.002] 0.994 [0.988, 1.000] 0.992∗∗ [0.985, 0.998]
Chronic disease index 1.544∗∗∗ [1.281, 1.862] 1.194 [0.840, 1.696] 0.979 [0.868, 1.104] 1.042 [0.663, 1.639]
Average household size 1.153 [0.624, 2.130] 1.752 [0.334, 9.197] 0.887 [0.337, 2.339] 2.430 [0.452, 13.059]
Percentage of severe housing problems 1.011 [0.956, 1.069] 0.966 [0.899, 1.038] 1.008 [0.969, 1.049] 0.957 [0.877, 1.044]
Percentage of public transportation 0.985 [0.956, 1.014] 1.019 [0.884, 1.176] 1.076∗∗∗ [1.039, 1.116] 0.993 [0.923, 1.069]
Healthcare shortage 0.875 [0.563, 1.360] 0.649∗∗∗ [0.534, 0.790] 0.838 [0.649, 1.082] 1.043 [0.534, 2.038]
Percentage of uninsured 1.006 [0.933, 1.085] 0.979 [0.933, 1.027] 0.971 [0.930, 1.015] 1.008 [0.921, 1.104]
Constant 0.000∗∗∗ [0.000, 0.000] 0.000 [0.000, 7.105] 1.239 [0.000, 22,211.136] 0.003 [0.000, 8.697e+11]
lnalpha –0.495∗ [–0.931, –0.059] 0.265 [–0.020, 0.550] 0.101 [–0.122, 0.325] 0.138 [–0.420, 0.697]
S.D.(constant) 0.370 [0.209, 0.541] 0.438∗ [0.199, 0.587] 0.621∗∗ [0.368, 0.797] 0.767 [0.419, 1.141]
N 216 1055 1422 413
AIC 1813.196 3683.159 6623.481 1523.407

P < .05; ∗∗ P < .01; ∗∗∗P < .001.