Table 1.
Years of temporary aging for hypothetical epidemics with mortality concentrated in a 3-mo period
Deaths | Temporary aging, y |
2,000,000 | 13.0 |
1,000,000 | 8.5 |
500,000 | 5.1 |
250,000 | 2.9 |
125,000 | 1.5 |
For example, during a US epidemic with 1 million deaths, an 80-y old would be exposed to the normal mortality risk of an 88.5-y old. Note that estimates assume a 10% rate of mortality increase with each year of age.