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. 2020 Sep 14;8(1):e001362. doi: 10.1136/bmjdrc-2020-001362

Table 5.

Only weight reduction model

Biological factors related to hyperglycemia Threshold Relevance
Fasting glucose <118–133 mg/dL 0.07
A1c reduction speed >−0.10 point HbA1c/year 0.81
Distance from target 7% <0.7–0.9 point HbA1c 0.12
Biological factors related to insulin resistance Threshold Relevance
BP systolic <115–125 mm Hg 0.03
Total cholesterol <189 mg/dL 0.04
Triglycerides <125 mg/dL 0.02
HDL >47 0.02
Hystory and care Threshold or condition Relevance
Years of observation >10 0.16
Interval between visits (yeras) <0.4–0.6 0.28
BMI >26–28 0.12
Diabetes therapy Condition Relevance
Agents Absent 0.09
SGLT2i, GLP1-RA, DPP-4i, INS+SGLT2 i, INS+GLP1 RA, INS+DPP-4i Present 0.09

The model identifies the following factors as relevant for achieving the target: AUC 0.55, accuracy 0.62, sensitivity 0.65, specificity 0.48, precision 0.82, NPV 0.29.

AUC, area under the curve; BMI, body mass index; BP, blood pressure; DPP-4i, dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor; GLP-1RA, glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists; HDL, high density lipoprotein; INS, insulin; NPV, negative predictive value; SGLT2i, sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors.