Official websites use .gov
A
.gov website belongs to an official
government organization in the United States.
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock (
) or https:// means you've safely
connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive
information only on official, secure websites.
The upper panel shows the simulated daily confirmed cases for the three scenarios. The lower panel shows the estimated time-varying effective reproduction numbers (solid black line), 95% credible intervals (grey band), and simulation truth (dashed red line) for the three scenarios. (For interpretation of the references to colour in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.)
