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. 2020 Sep 16;370:m3173. doi: 10.1136/bmj.m3173

Table 2.

Associations between fifths of Food Standards Agency nutrient profiling system (FSAm-NPS) dietary index score and all cause and cause specific mortality, from multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models, in participants of European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) cohort, 1992-2015. Values are hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) unless stated otherwise

Mortality Continuous (per 1 SD increment) P value Fifths* P for non-trend
First (highest nutritional quality) Second Third Fourth Fifth (lowest nutritional quality) P for trend
All causes
No/person years 54 951/8 162 730 10 887/1 605 206 9934/1 585 846 10 275/1 626 056 11 098/1 662 098 12 757/1 683 523
Sex adjusted model† 1.04 (1.03 to 1.05) <0.001 0.97 (0.94 to 1.00) 0.98 (0.95 to 1.01) 1.01 (0.98 to 1.04) 1.10 (1.07 to 1.14) <0.001 <0.001
Main model‡ 1.02 (1.01 to 1.03) <0.001 1.00 (ref) 0.98 (0.96 to 1.01) 0.99 (0.96 to 1.02) 1.01 (0.98 to 1.04) 1.06 (1.03 to 1.09) <0.001 <0.001
Cause specific
Non-external:
 No/person years 53 112/8 162 730 10 515/1 605 206 9605/1 585 846 9922/1 626 056 10 728/1 662 098 12 342/1 683 523
 Sex adjusted model 1.04 (1.03 to 1.05) <0.001 1.00 (ref) 0.97 (0.94 to 1.00) 0.98 (0.95 to 1.01) 1.01 (0.98 to 1.04) 1.10 (1.07 to 1.14) <0.001 <0.001
 Main model 1.03 (1.02 to 1.04) <0.001 1.00 (ref) 0.99 (0.96 to 1.02) 0.99 (0.96 to 1.02) 1.01 (0.98 to 1.04) 1.07 (1.03 to 1.1) <0.001 <0.001
External:
 No/person years 1839/7 783 132 372/1 568 430 329/1 538 426 353/1 556 361 370/1 562 787 415/1 557 129
 Sex adjusted model 1.03 (0.98 to 1.09) 0.23 0.95 (0.81 to 1.10) 1.00 (0.86 to 1.17) 1.00 (0.86 to 1.17) 1.08 (0.92 to 1.27) 0.21 0.54
 Main model 1.00 (0.95 to 1.05) 0.93 1.00 (ref) 0.94 (0.81 to 1.1) 0.98 (0.84 to 1.15) 0.96 (0.82 to 1.13) 0.99 (0.84 to 1.16) 0.98 0.93
Cancer:
 No/person years 23 143/7 783 132 4550/1 568 430 4288/1 538 426 4482/1 556 361 4700/1 562 787 5123/1 557 129
 Sex adjusted model 1.06 (1.04 to 1.07) <0.001 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (0.96 to 1.04) 1.04 (0.99 to 1.08) 1.07 (1.03 to 1.12) 1.16 (1.11 to 1.21) <0.001 <0.001
 Main model 1.03 (1.01 to 1.04) <0.001 1.00 (ref) 0.99 (0.95 to 1.04) 1.02 (0.98 to 1.07) 1.03 (0.99 to 1.08) 1.08 (1.03 to 1.13) <0.001 0.003
Circulatory diseases:
 No/person years 13 246/7 783 132 2973/1 568 430 2432/1 538 426 2377/1 556 361 2526/1 562 787 2938/1 557 129
 Sex adjusted model 1.02 (1.00 to 1.04) 0.04 1.00 (ref) 0.91 (0.86 to 0.96) 0.92 (0.87 to 0.97) 0.95 (0.90 to 1.01) 1.03 (0.97 to 1.09) 0.11 <0.001
 Main model 1.02 (1.00 to 1.04) 0.03 1.00 (ref) 0.96 (0.91 to 1.01) 0.96 (0.91 to 1.02) 1.00 (0.94 to 1.06) 1.04 (0.98 to 1.11) 0.06 0.02
Respiratory diseases:
 No/person years 2857/7 783 132 508/1 568 430 501/1 538 426 507/1 556 361 591/1 562 787 750/1 557 129
 Sex adjusted model 1.16 (1.12 to 1.21) <0.001 1.00 (ref) 1.12 (0.98 to 1.27) 1.15 (1.01 to 1.31) 1.30 (1.14 to 1.47) 1.56 (1.37 to 1.76) <0.001 <0.001
 Main model 1.11 (1.06 to 1.15) <0.001 1.00 (ref) 1.15 (1.01 to 1.31) 1.16 (1.01 to 1.32) 1.27 (1.11 to 1.45) 1.39 (1.22 to 1.59) <0.001 <0.001
Digestive diseases:
 No/person years 1561/7 783 132 294/1 568 430 286/1 538 426 282/1 556 361 326/1 562 787 373/1 557 129
 Sex adjusted model 1.09 (1.03 to 1.15) 0.002 1.00 (ref) 1.06 (0.89 to 1.25) 1.03 (0.87 to 1.22) 1.15 (0.97 to 1.36) 1.25 (1.06 to 1.48) 0.005 0.05
 Main model 1.08 (1.02 to 1.14) 0.01 1.00 (ref) 1.08 (0.91 to 1.28) 1.05 (0.88 to 1.25) 1.15 (0.97 to 1.37) 1.22 (1.02 to 1.45) 0.03 0.19
*

Cut-offs for sex specific fifths of the FSAm-NPS dietary index were 4.14, 5.35, 6.43, and 7.68 for women and 4.32, 5.55, 6.63, and 7.88 for men. A higher score indicates a lower nutritional quality of foods consumed.

Sex adjusted model was stratified for age (one year interval) and study centre and adjusted for age (time scale) and sex.

The main model was stratified for age (one year interval) and study centre and adjusted for age (time scale) sex, body mass index, height, educational level (longer education, including university degree, technical or professional school, secondary school, primary school, missing), combined total physical activity (sex specific categories: active, moderately active, moderately inactive, inactive, missing), smoking status and intensity of smoking (current, 1-15 cigarettes daily; 16-25 cigarettes daily; ≥26 cigarettes daily; pipe, cigar, occasional; current or former, missing; former, quit 11-19 years, quit ≥20 years, quit ≤10 years; non-smoker; missing), baseline alcohol intake, baseline energy intake, and history of cancer (yes, no), cardiovascular diseases (yes, no, missing) and diabetes (yes, no, missing).