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. 2020 Sep 15;38(5):661–671.e2. doi: 10.1016/j.ccell.2020.09.007

Table 4.

Factors Associated with In-Hospital Mortality in Patients with Cancer Who Were Hospitalized with COVID-19

Variable Univariate Model: Unadjusted OR (95% CI) p Value Multivariate Model: Adjusted OR (95% CI) p Value
Admission Viral Loada,b

Low (cobas, CT value > 30; Xpert Xpress, CT value > 32) Reference Reference
Medium (cobas, CT value 25–30; Xpert Xpress, CT value 27–32) 2.82 (0.72–11.01) 0.14 2.13 (0.51–8.85) 0.30
High (cobas, CT value < 25; Xpert Xpress, CT value < 27) 5.99 (1.79–20.07) 0.004 5.00 (1.42–17.61) 0.012

Type of Active Cancer

Solid tumor Reference
Hematologic malignancy 1.00 (0.42–2.39) 1.00
Chemotherapy within previous 6 months 1.56 (0.64–3.79) 0.33

Demographics

Age, per year increase 1.06 (1.01–1.10) 0.011 1.05 (1.00–1.10) 0.037
Femalec 0.45 (0.18–1.09) 0.08
Race/ethnicity
 White (non-Hispanic) Reference
 Black (non-Hispanic) 0.87 (0.20–3.76) 0.86
 Asian (non-Hispanic) 2.80 (0.81–9.66) 0.10
 Hispanic 1.71 (0.56–6.20) 0.35
 Other or missing 1.6 (0.25–10.07) 0.62

Comorbiditiesd

Obesity (BMI > 30)c 2.38 (0.94–6.01) 0.07
Coronary artery diseasec 2.31 (0.90–5.96) 0.08
Congestive heart failurec 2.74 (0.87–8.66) 0.09
Diabetes mellitus 1.26 (0.51–3.10) 0.61
Hypertension 0.93 (0.39–2.18) 0.86
Chronic pulmonary disease 1.59 (0.58–4.37) 0.37
Chronic kidney disease 2.54 (0.59–10.91) 0.21

Social Characteristicsd

Active or former smoker 1.17 (0.47–2.91) 0.74
Known exposure to COVID-positive patient 1.69 (0.54–5.28) 0.36
Nursing home/rehabilitation facility residentc 3.27 (1.06–10.08) 0.039

Symptoms

Fever 0.91 (0.39–2.14) 0.83
Cough 1.19 (0.50–2.84) 0.69
Dyspnea 0.75 (0.32–1.77) 0.51
Duration of symptoms, per day increase 1.00 (0.92–1.09) 0.96

ED Presentation

Need for supplemental oxygen within 3 h of ED presentation 3.97 (1.36–11.58) 0.011 3.16 (1.02–9.82) 0.047
Laboratory findingse
 Leukocytosis: WBC > 11 × 109 cells/L 1.19 (0.40–3.53) 0.76
 Lymphopenia: ALC < 1 × 109 cells/L 0.83 (0.34–2.02) 0.69
 AST elevation 1.12 (0.57–2.66) 0.80
 ALT elevation 0.43 (0.11–1.62) 0.21
Chest X-ray results
 No infiltrates Reference
 Unilateral infiltrates 0.63 (0.11–3.80) 0.62
 Bilateral infiltrates 2.24 (0.74–6.81) 0.16
Relationship to apex of COVID-19 in New York Cityc
 Pre-apex (March 15–29) 3.20 (0.83–12.35) 0.09
 Apex (March 30–April 8) Reference
 Post-apex (April 9–May 14) 0.53 (0.20–1.44) 0.21
Hospitalc
 Hospital no. 1 Reference
 Hospital no. 2 0.33 (0.13–0.86) 0.023
 Hospital no. 3 0.40 (0.11–1.50) 0.18

Bold p values indicate those that meet statistical significance.

Abbreviations: ALC, absolute lymphocyte count; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; cobas, cobas SARS-CoV-2 assay; CT, cycle threshold; ED, emergency department; OR, odds ratio; WBC, white blood cell count; Xpert Xpress, Xpert Xpress SARS-CoV-2 assay.

a

CT values based on SARS-CoV-2-specific targets (cobas, ORF1ab gene; Xpert Xpress, N2 gene).

b

In a sensitivity analysis that applies the cobas CT value viral load cutoffs (high, CT < 25; medium, CT < 25–30; low, CT > 30) to both the cobas and Xpert Xpress assays, having a high viral load was also independently associated with in-hospital mortality (aOR = 4.71; 95% CI, 1.44–15.44; p = 0.01) compared with having a low viral load.

c

Removed from final model because p value ≥ 0.1 in multivariate analysis.

d

Only comorbidities or social characteristics that were present in ≥5 patients with active cancer were considered for analysis.

e

Only laboratory findings that were available in ≥90% of patients were considered in this model.