Table 4.
Factors Associated with In-Hospital Mortality in Patients with Cancer Who Were Hospitalized with COVID-19
Variable | Univariate Model: Unadjusted OR (95% CI) | p Value | Multivariate Model: Adjusted OR (95% CI) | p Value |
---|---|---|---|---|
Admission Viral Loada,b | ||||
Low (cobas, CT value > 30; Xpert Xpress, CT value > 32) | Reference | Reference | ||
Medium (cobas, CT value 25–30; Xpert Xpress, CT value 27–32) | 2.82 (0.72–11.01) | 0.14 | 2.13 (0.51–8.85) | 0.30 |
High (cobas, CT value < 25; Xpert Xpress, CT value < 27) | 5.99 (1.79–20.07) | 0.004 | 5.00 (1.42–17.61) | 0.012 |
Type of Active Cancer | ||||
Solid tumor | Reference | |||
Hematologic malignancy | 1.00 (0.42–2.39) | 1.00 | ||
Chemotherapy within previous 6 months | 1.56 (0.64–3.79) | 0.33 | ||
Demographics | ||||
Age, per year increase | 1.06 (1.01–1.10) | 0.011 | 1.05 (1.00–1.10) | 0.037 |
Femalec | 0.45 (0.18–1.09) | 0.08 | ||
Race/ethnicity | ||||
White (non-Hispanic) | Reference | |||
Black (non-Hispanic) | 0.87 (0.20–3.76) | 0.86 | ||
Asian (non-Hispanic) | 2.80 (0.81–9.66) | 0.10 | ||
Hispanic | 1.71 (0.56–6.20) | 0.35 | ||
Other or missing | 1.6 (0.25–10.07) | 0.62 | ||
Comorbiditiesd | ||||
Obesity (BMI > 30)c | 2.38 (0.94–6.01) | 0.07 | ||
Coronary artery diseasec | 2.31 (0.90–5.96) | 0.08 | ||
Congestive heart failurec | 2.74 (0.87–8.66) | 0.09 | ||
Diabetes mellitus | 1.26 (0.51–3.10) | 0.61 | ||
Hypertension | 0.93 (0.39–2.18) | 0.86 | ||
Chronic pulmonary disease | 1.59 (0.58–4.37) | 0.37 | ||
Chronic kidney disease | 2.54 (0.59–10.91) | 0.21 | ||
Social Characteristicsd | ||||
Active or former smoker | 1.17 (0.47–2.91) | 0.74 | ||
Known exposure to COVID-positive patient | 1.69 (0.54–5.28) | 0.36 | ||
Nursing home/rehabilitation facility residentc | 3.27 (1.06–10.08) | 0.039 | ||
Symptoms | ||||
Fever | 0.91 (0.39–2.14) | 0.83 | ||
Cough | 1.19 (0.50–2.84) | 0.69 | ||
Dyspnea | 0.75 (0.32–1.77) | 0.51 | ||
Duration of symptoms, per day increase | 1.00 (0.92–1.09) | 0.96 | ||
ED Presentation | ||||
Need for supplemental oxygen within 3 h of ED presentation | 3.97 (1.36–11.58) | 0.011 | 3.16 (1.02–9.82) | 0.047 |
Laboratory findingse | ||||
Leukocytosis: WBC > 11 × 109 cells/L | 1.19 (0.40–3.53) | 0.76 | ||
Lymphopenia: ALC < 1 × 109 cells/L | 0.83 (0.34–2.02) | 0.69 | ||
AST elevation | 1.12 (0.57–2.66) | 0.80 | ||
ALT elevation | 0.43 (0.11–1.62) | 0.21 | ||
Chest X-ray results | ||||
No infiltrates | Reference | |||
Unilateral infiltrates | 0.63 (0.11–3.80) | 0.62 | ||
Bilateral infiltrates | 2.24 (0.74–6.81) | 0.16 | ||
Relationship to apex of COVID-19 in New York Cityc | ||||
Pre-apex (March 15–29) | 3.20 (0.83–12.35) | 0.09 | ||
Apex (March 30–April 8) | Reference | |||
Post-apex (April 9–May 14) | 0.53 (0.20–1.44) | 0.21 | ||
Hospitalc | ||||
Hospital no. 1 | Reference | |||
Hospital no. 2 | 0.33 (0.13–0.86) | 0.023 | ||
Hospital no. 3 | 0.40 (0.11–1.50) | 0.18 |
Bold p values indicate those that meet statistical significance.
Abbreviations: ALC, absolute lymphocyte count; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; cobas, cobas SARS-CoV-2 assay; CT, cycle threshold; ED, emergency department; OR, odds ratio; WBC, white blood cell count; Xpert Xpress, Xpert Xpress SARS-CoV-2 assay.
CT values based on SARS-CoV-2-specific targets (cobas, ORF1ab gene; Xpert Xpress, N2 gene).
In a sensitivity analysis that applies the cobas CT value viral load cutoffs (high, CT < 25; medium, CT < 25–30; low, CT > 30) to both the cobas and Xpert Xpress assays, having a high viral load was also independently associated with in-hospital mortality (aOR = 4.71; 95% CI, 1.44–15.44; p = 0.01) compared with having a low viral load.
Removed from final model because p value ≥ 0.1 in multivariate analysis.
Only comorbidities or social characteristics that were present in ≥5 patients with active cancer were considered for analysis.
Only laboratory findings that were available in ≥90% of patients were considered in this model.