Appendix 1—table 3. Trait thermal response functions, data sources, and posterior estimates: larval traits.
Asymmetrical responses fit with Brière function (B): B(T)=qT(T – Tmin)(Tmax – T)1/2; symmetrical responses fit with quadratic function (Q): Q(T) = -q(T – Tmin)(T – Tmax). Median function coefficients and optima (with 95% credible intervals).
Trait/Species
(data source) |
F(x) | q (CIs) | Tmin (CIs) | Tmax (CIs) | Topt (CIs) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mosquito Dev. Rate (MDR) | |||||
Ae. triseriatus
(Shelton, 1973) |
B | 4.30·10−5
(3.01–5.83·10−5) |
0.8 (0–7.5) |
36.5 (34.6–39.5) |
29.3 (27.8–31.9) |
Ae. vexans
(Brust, 1967; Trpiš and Shemanchuk, 1970) |
B | 4.33·10−5
(3.34–5.50·10−5) |
1.9 (0.1–10.5) |
38.2 (37.0–39.5) |
30.9 (29.8–32.2) |
Cx. pipiens
(Ciota et al., 2014; Loetti et al., 2011; Madder et al., 1983; Mpho et al., 2002a; Mpho et al., 2002b Ruybal et al., 2016; Tekle, 1960) |
B | 3.76·10−5
(3.36–4.47·10−5) |
0.1 (0–4.0) |
38.5 (37.6–39.8) |
30.9 (30.2–31.9) |
Cx. quinquefasciatus
(Ciota et al., 2014; Mpho et al., 2001; Rueda et al., 1990; Shelton, 1973; Tekle, 1960) |
B | 4.14·10−5
(3.46–5.26·10−5) |
0.1 (0–5.5) |
38.6 (37.4–40.6) |
31.0 (30.0–32.6) |
Cx. tarsalis
(Buth et al., 1990; Dodson et al., 2012; Reisen, 1995) |
B | 4.12·10−5
(3.15–5.47·10−5) |
4.3 (0–8.4) |
39.9 (37.9–42.2) |
32.3 (31.0–34.0) |
Cs. melanura
(Mahmood and Crans, 1998) |
B | 2.74·10−5
(1.64–4.72·10−5) |
8.6 (0–16.8) |
37.6 (35.1–40.4) |
31.1 (28.7–33.7) |
Larval survival (pLA) | |||||
Ae. triseriatus
(Shelton, 1973; Teng and Apperson, 2000) |
Q | 3.26·10−3
(1.95–5.18·10−3) |
8.3 (4.9–11.4) |
35.7 (32.9–39.7) |
22.0 (19.9–24.6) |
Ae. vexans
(Brust, 1967; Trpiš and Shemanchuk, 1970) |
Q | 3.29·10−3
(2.65–4.24·10−3) |
9.1 (8.1–10.6) |
40.8 (38.4–43.6) |
25.0 (23.9–26.2) |
Cx. pipiens
(Ciota et al., 2014; Loetti et al., 2011; Madder et al., 1983; Mpho et al., 2002a; Mpho et al., 2002b; Ruybal et al., 2016; Tekle, 1960) |
Q | 3.60·10−3
(2.96–4.42·10−3) |
7.8 (6.1–9.3) |
38.4 (37.1–39.9) |
23.1 (22.2–24.0) |
Cx. quinquefasciatus
(Ciota et al., 2014; Mogi, 1992; Mpho et al., 2001; Oda et al., 1999; Rueda et al., 1990; Shelton, 1973; Tekle, 1960) |
Q | 4.26·10−3
(3.51–5.17·10−3) |
8.9 (7.6–9.9) |
37.7 (36.2–39.2) |
23.3 (22.5–24.0) |
Cx. tarsalis
(Buth et al., 1990; Dodson et al., 2012; Reisen, 1995) |
Q | 2.12·10−3
(1.52–3.08·10−3) |
5.9 (3.0–8.8) |
43.1 (39.8–47.5) |
24.6 (22.9–26.4) |
Cs. melanura
(Mahmood and Crans, 1998) |
Q | 3.03·10−3
(1.55–5.68·10−3) |
10.1 (5.7–15.1) |
36.2 (32.8–40.7) |
23.2 (20.4–26.5) |
Additional data sources for other species used for fitting priors only (priors were fit using all data except that of the focal species). Mosquito Development Rate (MDR): Cx. pipiens molestus (Kiarie-Makara et al., 2015; Olejnícek and Gelbic, 2000), Cx. pipiens pallens (Kiarie-Makara et al., 2015), Cx. restuans (Buth et al., 1990; Madder et al., 1983; Muturi et al., 2011; Shelton, 1973), Cx. salinarius (Shelton, 1973), Ae. solicitans (Shelton, 1973), and Ae. nigromaculis (Brust, 1967). Larval survival (pLA): Cx. pipiens molestus (Oda et al., 1999; Olejnícek and Gelbic, 2000), Cx. pipiens pallens (Mogi, 1992), Cx. restuans (Buth et al., 1990; Ciota et al., 2014; Madder et al., 1983; Muturi et al., 2011; Shelton, 1973), Cx. salinarius (Shelton, 1973), Ae. sollicitans (Shelton, 1973), Ae. nigromaculis (Brust, 1967). See Appendix 1 section: Priors for trait thermal responses.