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. 2020 Sep 15;9:e58511. doi: 10.7554/eLife.58511

Appendix 1—table 3. Trait thermal response functions, data sources, and posterior estimates: larval traits.

Asymmetrical responses fit with Brière function (B): B(T)=qT(T – Tmin)(Tmax – T)1/2; symmetrical responses fit with quadratic function (Q): Q(T) = -q(T – Tmin)(T – Tmax). Median function coefficients and optima (with 95% credible intervals).

Trait/Species
(data source)
F(x) q (CIs) Tmin (CIs) Tmax (CIs) Topt (CIs)
Mosquito Dev. Rate (MDR)
Ae. triseriatus
(Shelton, 1973)
B 4.30·10−5
(3.01–5.83·10−5)
0.8
(0–7.5)
36.5
(34.6–39.5)
29.3
(27.8–31.9)
Ae. vexans
(Brust, 1967; Trpiš and Shemanchuk, 1970)
B 4.33·10−5
(3.34–5.50·10−5)
1.9
(0.1–10.5)
38.2
(37.0–39.5)
30.9
(29.8–32.2)
Cx. pipiens
(Ciota et al., 2014; Loetti et al., 2011; Madder et al., 1983; Mpho et al., 2002aMpho et al., 2002b Ruybal et al., 2016; Tekle, 1960)
B 3.76·10−5
(3.36–4.47·10−5)
0.1
(0–4.0)
38.5
(37.6–39.8)
30.9
(30.2–31.9)
Cx. quinquefasciatus
(Ciota et al., 2014; Mpho et al., 2001; Rueda et al., 1990; Shelton, 1973; Tekle, 1960)
B 4.14·10−5
(3.46–5.26·10−5)
0.1
(0–5.5)
38.6
(37.4–40.6)
31.0
(30.0–32.6)
Cx. tarsalis
(Buth et al., 1990; Dodson et al., 2012; Reisen, 1995)
B 4.12·10−5
(3.15–5.47·10−5)
4.3
(0–8.4)
39.9
(37.9–42.2)
32.3
(31.0–34.0)
Cs. melanura
(Mahmood and Crans, 1998)
B 2.74·10−5
(1.64–4.72·10−5)
8.6
(0–16.8)
37.6
(35.1–40.4)
31.1
(28.7–33.7)
Larval survival (pLA)
Ae. triseriatus
(Shelton, 1973; Teng and Apperson, 2000)
Q 3.26·10−3
(1.95–5.18·10−3)
8.3
(4.9–11.4)
35.7
(32.9–39.7)
22.0
(19.9–24.6)
Ae. vexans
(Brust, 1967; Trpiš and Shemanchuk, 1970)
Q 3.29·10−3
(2.65–4.24·10−3)
9.1
(8.1–10.6)
40.8
(38.4–43.6)
25.0
(23.9–26.2)
Cx. pipiens
(Ciota et al., 2014; Loetti et al., 2011; Madder et al., 1983; Mpho et al., 2002a; Mpho et al., 2002bRuybal et al., 2016; Tekle, 1960)
Q 3.60·10−3
(2.96–4.42·10−3)
7.8
(6.1–9.3)
38.4
(37.1–39.9)
23.1
(22.2–24.0)
Cx. quinquefasciatus
(Ciota et al., 2014; Mogi, 1992; Mpho et al., 2001; Oda et al., 1999; Rueda et al., 1990; Shelton, 1973; Tekle, 1960)
Q 4.26·10−3
(3.51–5.17·10−3)
8.9
(7.6–9.9)
37.7
(36.2–39.2)
23.3
(22.5–24.0)
Cx. tarsalis
(Buth et al., 1990; Dodson et al., 2012; Reisen, 1995)
Q 2.12·10−3
(1.52–3.08·10−3)
5.9
(3.0–8.8)
43.1
(39.8–47.5)
24.6
(22.9–26.4)
Cs. melanura
(Mahmood and Crans, 1998)
Q 3.03·10−3
(1.55–5.68·10−3)
10.1
(5.7–15.1)
36.2
(32.8–40.7)
23.2
(20.4–26.5)

Additional data sources for other species used for fitting priors only (priors were fit using all data except that of the focal species). Mosquito Development Rate (MDR): Cx. pipiens molestus (Kiarie-Makara et al., 2015; Olejnícek and Gelbic, 2000), Cx. pipiens pallens (Kiarie-Makara et al., 2015), Cx. restuans (Buth et al., 1990; Madder et al., 1983; Muturi et al., 2011; Shelton, 1973), Cx. salinarius (Shelton, 1973), Ae. solicitans (Shelton, 1973), and Ae. nigromaculis (Brust, 1967). Larval survival (pLA): Cx. pipiens molestus (Oda et al., 1999; Olejnícek and Gelbic, 2000), Cx. pipiens pallens (Mogi, 1992), Cx. restuans (Buth et al., 1990; Ciota et al., 2014; Madder et al., 1983; Muturi et al., 2011; Shelton, 1973), Cx. salinarius (Shelton, 1973), Ae. sollicitans (Shelton, 1973), Ae. nigromaculis (Brust, 1967). See Appendix 1 section: Priors for trait thermal responses.