Table 2. Thermal optima and limits for transmission of mosquito-borne pathogens.
Median temperature of the lower thermal limit (Tmin), optimum, and upper thermal limit (Tmax), with 95% credible intervals in parentheses. A version of this table (without thermal breadth, different order of R0 models) was published in Mordecai et al., 2019 (Table 2 in that paper).
| R0 Model | Tmin (°C) | Optimum (°C) | Tmax (°C) | Thermal breadth (°C) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| From this study: | ||||
| EEEV in Ae. triseriatus | 11.7 (8.8–16.3) | 22.7 (22.0–23.6) | 31.9 (31.1–33.0) | 20.0 (15.4–23.0) |
| WEEV in Cx. tarsalis | 8.6 (6.3–13.0) | 23.0 (22.0–24.7) | 31.9 (30.3–35.2) | 23.3 (18.2–27.0) |
| SINV in Cx. pipiens | 9.4 (6.9–13.3) | 23.2 (21.7–24.6) | 33.8 (28.2–37.0) | 23.8 (17.3–28.6) |
| WNV in Cx. univittatus | 11.0 (8.0–15.3) | 23.8 (22.7–25.0) | 33.6 (31.2–36.9) | 22.5 (18.2–26.3) |
| WNV in Cx. tarsalis | 12.1 (9.6–15.2) | 23.9 (22.9–25.9) | 32.0 (30.6–38.6) | 20.1 (16.3–26.7) |
| SLEV in Cx. tarsalis | 12.9 (11.0–14.8) | 24.1 (23.1–26.0) | 32.0 (30.6–38.5) | 19.2 (16.5–25.6) |
| WNV in Cx. pipiens | 16.8 (14.9–17.8) | 24.5 (23.6–25.5) | 34.9 (32.9–37.6) | 18.2 (15.8–21.2) |
| WNV in Cx. quinquefasciatus | 19.0 (14.1–20.9) | 25.2 (23.9–27.1) | 31.8 (31.1–32.2) | 12.7 (10.6–17.6) |
| RVFV in Ae. taeniorhynchus | 10.6 (8.6–14.4) | 25.9 (23.8–27.1) | 37.8 (34.4–39.1) | 27.0 (21.8–29.7) |
| SINV in Ae. taeniorhynchus | 9.7 (8.3–13.6) | 26.0 (23.9–27.3) | 37.8 (34.4–39.2) | 27.7 (22.6–30.0) |
| From previous studies: | ||||
| Falciparum malaria (Johnson et al., 2015) | 19.1 (16.0–23.2) | 25.4 (23.9–27.0) | 32.6 (29.4–34.3) | 13.2 (8.3–17.1) |
| DENV in Ae. albopictus (Mordecai et al., 2017) | 16.2 (13.0–19.8) | 26.4 (25.4–27.6) | 31.4 (29.5–34.0) | 15.2 (11.2–19.3) |
| Ross River virus (Shocket et al., 2018) | 17.0 (15.8–18.0) | 26.4 (26.0–26.6) | 31.4 (30.4–33.0) | 14.2 (12.8–16.2) |
| ZIKV in Ae. aegypti (Tesla et al., 2018) | 22.8 (20.5–23.8) | 28.9 (28.2–29.6) | 34.5 (34.1–36.2) | 11.7 (10.4–14.5) |
| DENV in Ae. aegypti (Mordecai et al., 2017) | 17.8 (14.6–21.2) | 29.1 (28.4–29.8) | 34.5 (34.1–35.8) | 16.7 (13.2–20.2) |