Fig 2. Three time point conceptual representation of the final simplified longitudinal model with cross-lagged and contemporaneous equilibrium constraints (Model-8).

Y = outcome (i.e., scientific career persistence intentions [indicator of integration]), M_j = mediators (i.e., science self-efficacy, science identity, and science community values [indicators of social influence processes]), X_k = contextual factors (i.e., faculty mentor support, mentor network diversity, research experiences [indicators of social influence agents]). Stability paths shown as solid lines, first-order longitudinal cross-lagged paths shown as dashed lines, and contemporaneous mediation paths from the contextual factors to the outcome are shown as dotted lines. Subscripts ₁ = T1 spring/summer prior to college, ₂ = T2 spring first year of college, ₃ = T3 spring second year of college, but T4 fall third year of college, and T5 spring fourth year of college are not shown for the sake of parsimony.