TABLE 10.
Variables | Short-term coefficients | Std. Error | t-stat | Prob. |
D(UKC_POS) | −0.00127 | 0.001661 | −0.764723 | 0.4475 |
D(UKC_POS(-1)) | 0.022345*** | 0.003248 | 6.878603 | 0 |
D(UKC_NEG) | 0.009267*** | 0.002137 | 4.337228 | 0.0001 |
D(UKD_POS) | −0.03503*** | 0.00746 | −4.695883 | 0 |
D(UKD_POS(-1)) | −0.090212*** | 0.014812 | −6.090388 | 0 |
ECTt–1 | −1.100754*** | 0.115104 | −9.563147 | 0 |
R-Squared | 0.651816 | |||
Adjusted R-squared | 0.624182 | |||
Durbin-Watson stat | 1.867108 | |||
Variables | Long-term coefficients | Std. Error | t-stat | Prob. |
UKC_POS | −0.003609* | 0.00191 | −1.889866 | 0.0638 |
UKC_NEG | −0.003213 | 0.002112 | −1.521044 | 0.1337 |
UKD_POS | 0.075038** | 0.02864 | 2.620078 | 0.0112 |
UKD_NEG | 0.086022** | 0.035056 | 2.453823 | 0.0172 |
C | −0.319529 | 0.353596 | −0.903654 | 0.3699 |
*, **, and *** denote 10, 5, and 1% level of significance, respectively. Source: Author’s calculation.