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. 2020 Sep 16;11:4674. doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-18271-5

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© The Author(s) 2020

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Fig. 1 — a Posterior distribution of SARS-CoV-2 prevalence by borough (colors) and overall (black) across the study period. b Weekly mean posterior prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection by borough with 95% credible intervals. For both panels, the test was assumed to have perfect specificity and 90% sensitivity. There were no recorded SARS-CoV-2 tests from patients with Queens ZIP codes during the week of 16 March. Source data, including sample sizes by week and borough, are listed in Supplementary Table 3 and provided as a Source Data file.