Table 2.
Performances of the prediction models in the test set for 5-year mortality and 5-year metachronous liver metastasis
| Predictors | Logistic regression classification AUC (mean +/− standard deviation) |
Random forest classification AUC (mean, standard deviation) |
|---|---|---|
| Prediction model for 5-year metachronous liver metastasis | ||
| Clinical* | 0.709 +/− 0.038 | 0.692 +/− 0.038 |
| PC1 | 0.606 +/− 0.044 | 0.557 +/− 0.043 |
| PC1-PC2 | 0.600 +/− 0.042 | 0.536 +/− 0.042 |
| PC1-PC3 | 0.588 +/− 0.040 | 0.503 +/− 0.046 |
| PC1-PC4 | 0.580 +/− 0.040 | 0.520 +/− 0.042 |
| Clinical + PC1 | 0.747 +/− 0.036 | 0.697 +/− 0.038 |
| Clinical + PC1-PC2 | 0.744 +/− 0.036 | 0.676 +/− 0.043 |
| Clinical + PC1-PC3 | 0.740 +/− 0.038 | 0.668 +/− 0.042 |
| Clinical + PC1-PC4 | 0.736 +/− 0.038 | 0.691 +/− 0.042 |
| Prediction model for 5-year mortality | ||
| Clinical* | 0.704 +/− 0.028 | 0.679 +/− 0.030 |
| PC1 | 0.482 +/− 0.031 | 0.511 +/− 0.030 |
| Clinical + PC1 | 0.695 +/− 0.031 | 0.647 +/− 0.033 |
*Clinical: Age, Sex, T stage, N stage