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. 2020 May 27;72(1):198–212. doi: 10.1002/hep.31022

Table 4.

Median OS (Months) According to the Risk Categories

Figure Risk Stratification Risk Category N Median OS (95% CI) Hazard Ratio (95% CI) P Value
1A Derivation set Pre‐TACE‐Predict model 1 233 41.02 (36.84, 49.24) 1
2 496 29.18 (27.20, 33.49) 1.57 (1.27, 1.95) <0.0001
3 495 17.99 (16.81, 19.93) 2.59 (2.10, 3.20) <0.0001
4 231 8.36 (6.84, 9.77) 5.44 (4.31, 6.86) <0.0001
1B Internal validation set Pre‐TACE‐Predict model 1 255 39.18 (34.44, 51.77) 1
2 483 25.89 (23.09, 27.89) 1.58 (1.29, 1.93) <0.0001
3 499 18.22 (15.99, 20.23) 2.26 (1.86, 2.75) <0.0001
4 219 8.65 (7.73, 9.97) 3.93 (3.15, 4.90) <0.0001
1C External validation set (Eastern) Pre‐TACE‐Predict model 1 44 46.68 (29.05, 54.05) 1
2 124 33.82 (28.68, 42.66) 1.36 (0.85, 2.19) 0.201
3 228 16.88 (14.11, 19.34) 2.66 (1.71, 4.15) <0.0001
4 330 7.93 (6.94, 9.08) 4.94 (3.19, 7.65) <0.0001
1D External validation set (Western) Pre‐TACE‐Predict model 1 40 34.77 (26.81, 47.24) 1
2 96 23.95 (19.64, 30.69) 1.33 (0.89, 1.98) 0.165
3 155 17.11 (12.63, 22.50) 1.74 (1.19, 2.53) 0.004
4 73 8.29 (6.28, 12.27) 2.99 (1.97, 4.53) 0.0001
2 All patients mRECIST CR 625 42.83 (38.83, 46.68) 1
PR 745 22.70 (21.09, 24.21) 1.99 (1.71, 2.31) <0.0001
SD 765 14.28 (13.03, 15.76) 2.95 (2.56, 3.40) <0.0001
PD 496 8.85 (7.87, 10.13) 4.51 (3.87, 5.26) <0.0001
3A Derivation set Post‐TACE‐Predict model 1 101 55.53 (47.53, NR) 1
2 218 30.26 (26.05, 34.61) 2.50 (1.68, 3.72) <0.0001
3 214 17.93 (15.26, 20.46) 5.03 (3.40, 7.42) <0.0001
4 92 8.36 (6.88, 9.34) 12.35 (8.06, 18.93) <0.0001
3B Internal validation set Post‐TACE‐Predict model 1 106 51.18 (37.37, 78.22) 1
2 221 27.50 (24.97, 35.76) 2.14 (1.48, 3.08) <0.0001
3 220 19.47 (16.51, 24.21) 3.37 (2.36, 4.80) <0.0001
4 79 8.09 (5.72, 10.53) 7.55 (5.01, 11.39) <0.0001
3C External validation set (Eastern) Post‐TACE‐Predict model 1 38 49.80 (28.06, 70.03) 1
2 99 31.22 (27.53, 37.53) 1.72 (1.02, 2.90) 0.043
3 203 21.18 (17.60, 24.97) 2.39 (1.46, 3.92) 0.001
4 375 7.01 (6.09, 7.80) 5.94 (3.68, 9.59) <0.0001
3D External validation set (Western) Post‐TACE‐Predict model 1 9 25.13 (11.68, NR) 1
2 41 34.31 (23.39, 47.11) 1.44 (0.57, 3.67) 0.444
3 147 22.96 (18.78, 27.34) 1.81 (0.74, 4.44) 0.192
4 144 9.84 (6.35, 11.78) 3.50 (1.43, 8.56) 0.006