TABLE 4.
Estimated incidence of leptospirosis among cross‐sectional community study participants, by District in northern Tanzania, 2013–2015
| District | Mean predicted probability (upper, lower bounds) | Probability ratio | Annual leptospirosis incidence a (upper, lower bounds) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hai | 0.029 (0.005, 0.095) | 1.9 | 21 (4, 70) |
| Longido | 0.071 (0.009, 0.235) | 4.7 | 53 (7, 174) |
| Monduli | 0.055 (0.009, 0.206) | 3.7 | 41 (7, 153) |
| Moshi Rural | 0.014 (0.002, 0.049) | 0.9 | 10 (1, 36) |
| Moshi Municipal | 0.015 (0.004, 0.048) | 1.0 | 11 (3, 36) |
| Rombo | 0.031 (0.006, 0.121) | 2.1 | 23 (4, 90) |
Probability ratio = mean predicted probability/mean predicted probability in Moshi Municipal District.
a
Leptospirosis incidence set at 11 cases/100,000 people for Moshi Municipal District (Maze et al., 2016). The incidence in other districts estimated by multiplying Moshi Municipal District estimates by the probability ratio.