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. 2020 Sep 17;11:4688. doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-18342-7

Table 5.

Baseline results.

Carbon Tax +
Carbon tax Biofuel policy
Variable Quantity Price Quantity Price
Agricultural sector: production
 Total −0.003 0.034 −0.045 −0.0
 Biofuels 0.717 0.034 −1.008 −0.0
 Food −0.032 0.034 −0.007 −0.0
Agricultural sector: inputs
 Land-share agriculture 0.012 0.02 −0.037 −0.005
 Energy in agriculture −0.293 0.609 −0.355 0.618
 Fertilizer production −0.021 0.065 −0.062 0.033
 Water production 0.009 0.005 −0.036 −0.02
Energy-related sectors and services
 Fossil-fuel in energy services −0.368 0.636 −0.362 0.641
 Fossil-fuel in fertilizer prod. −0.135 0.636 −0.184 0.641
 Fossil-fuel in fisheries −0.211 0.636 −0.223 0.641
 Energy services −0.319 0.609 −0.32 0.618
 Energy in manufacturing −0.321 0.609 −0.318 0.618
 Renewables production 0.466 0.173 0.475 0.176
Extractive sectors
 Fossil-fuel extraction −0.364 0.636 −0.359 0.641
 Phosphate extraction −0.007 −0.005 −0.049 −0.033
Other
 Land-share timber 0.001 0.02 0.021 −0.005
 Land-share natural −0.014 0.02 0.043 −0.005
 Fisheries production −0.102 0.091 −0.112 0.085
 Timber production 0.003 0.01 0.018 0.009
 Manufacturing −0.031 0.029 −0.026 0.034

Percentage change in key model variables from two policy scenarios, a one-percent increase in the carbon tax and a two-tier policy consisting of a one-percent increase in the carbon tax together with a one-percent reduction of biofuel subsidies.