Table 9.
Parameter threshold analysis to determine decision changing values for most uncertain parameters.
Value at which ICER is equal or exceeds threshold value | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Description | Base case value | Light skin tone | Medium skin tone | Dark skin tone | |||
ICER = 404,074 | ICER = £19,295 | Intervention dominates | |||||
Lambda (£) | 20,000 | 30,000 | 20,000 | 30,000 | 20,000 | 30,000 | |
Rickets duration (yr.) | 2 | 40.45 | 26.96 | 1.93 | 1.28 | <0 | <0 |
Intervention costs (excl. supplements, £/yr.) | 10,000 | <0 | <0 | 13,526 | 63,877 | 275,731 | 399,832 |
Intervention OR for rickets incidence | 0·410 | <0.001 | <0.001 | 0.427 | 0.597 | 0.822 | 0.866 |
Increase in woman supplementation rates (%) | 17 | <0 | <0 | 20 | 54 | >100 | >100 |
Increase in children supplementation rates | 20·0 | <0 | <0 | 21 | 33 | 79 | >100 |
Results of the threshold analysis testing baseline QoL presented in Supplementary Appendix.