Table 6. CO 2019 model performance statistics.
The Prophet model forecasted 2019 values on an hourly basis, which was compared to actual values over a 5 day, 15 day, 1 month, and 1 year period. Units for MSE, RMSE, and MAE are ppm. The MAE was on average 0.207 ppm away from the actual value after 5 days and as the time increased away from the known values, the error increased.
| Time | MSE | RMSE | MAE | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Days | 9.47 × 10−2 | 3.08 × 10−1 | 2.07 × 10−1 | 86.9% |
| 15 Days | 1.12 × 10−1 | 3.34 × 10−1 | 2.11 × 10−1 | 85.7% |
| 1 Month | 1.25 × 10−1 | 3.52 × 10−1 | 2.21 × 10−1 | 83.8% |
| 6 Months | 2.42 × 10−1 | 4.83 × 10−1 | 3.28 × 10−1 | 72.2% |
| 1 Year | 3.07 × 10−1 | 5.45 × 10−1 | 3.87 × 10−1 | 72.7% |