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. 2020 Sep 15;8:e9961. doi: 10.7717/peerj.9961

Table 6. CO 2019 model performance statistics.

The Prophet model forecasted 2019 values on an hourly basis, which was compared to actual values over a 5 day, 15 day, 1 month, and 1 year period. Units for MSE, RMSE, and MAE are ppm. The MAE was on average 0.207 ppm away from the actual value after 5 days and as the time increased away from the known values, the error increased.

Time MSE RMSE MAE Coverage
5 Days 9.47 × 10−2 3.08 × 10−1 2.07 × 10−1 86.9%
15 Days 1.12 × 10−1 3.34 × 10−1 2.11 × 10−1 85.7%
1 Month 1.25 × 10−1 3.52 × 10−1 2.21 × 10−1 83.8%
6 Months 2.42 × 10−1 4.83 × 10−1 3.28 × 10−1 72.2%
1 Year 3.07 × 10−1 5.45 × 10−1 3.87 × 10−1 72.7%