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. 2020 Sep 18;139:110298. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110298

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

India: The SIR model predictions (14 March, 2020 to 8 January, 2021) and data (14 March, 2020 to 18 August, 2020) for the infections, recoveries and deaths. We note that the number of active infections does not reach a peak (see plot of active infections vs days elapsed), and keeps increasing in time. Thus, the solutions to the SIR model (1) and predictions are only in agreement at the start of the pandemic, i.e. the period for which the red (model solutions) and blue (published data in [34]) curves of the active infections are in good agreement.