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. 2020 Apr 10;25(5):e12751. doi: 10.1111/anec.12751

Table 3.

Difference in area under the ROC curve (AUC) in relation to atrial fibrillation with Framingham score variables alone versus addition of P‐wave indices for 5 and 15 years of follow‐up

P‐wave indices Years since electrocardiography AUC (CI) Delta AUC (CI) p
Framingham variables alone 5 78.0 [70.2;85.8]    
P‐wave area/P‐wave duration index, lead II 5 78.6 [70.4;86.9] 0.6 [−8.2;9.4] .89
P‐wave area, lead II 5 78.1 [70.4;85.8] 0.1 [−7.4;7.6] .98
P‐wave duration, lead II 5 77.6 [68.1;87.1] −0.4 [−3.5;2.7] .80
P‐wave terminal force, lead V1 5 77.7 [69.4;86.0] −0.3 [−2.4;1.8] .78
Framingham variables alone 15 53.5 [29.1;77.9]    
P‐wave area/P‐wave duration index, lead II 15 62.0 [33.6;90.3] 8.5 [0.6;16.3] .034
P‐wave area, lead II 15 59.1 [32.3;85.9] 5.6 [−0.6;11.8] .076
P‐wave duration, lead II 15 54.8 [29.7;79.8] 1.3 [−1.7;4.3] .41
P‐wave terminal force, lead V1 15 54.4 [29.6;79.2] 0.9 [−0.9;2.8] .33

Area under the ROC curve for P‐wave area/P‐wave duration index and other PWI when added to Framingham score variables.