Table 7. Variance of predictions of staying at home from state fixed effect, explanatory variables, relative variances, correlation between these, and R2(t).
Week | Var. | Rel. Var. | Rel. Var. | Ratio | Correlation | R2(t) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stay at Home | Fixed Effect Predictions | Demo. Predictions | Demo. to FE Var | FE, Demo. Predictions | ||
1 | 0.0050 | 0.1287 | 0.0419 | 0.3258 | −0.0762 | 0.1594 |
2 | 0.0086 | 0.1302 | 0.0233 | 0.1786 | −0.2156 | 0.1297 |
3 | 0.0078 | 0.1630 | 0.0157 | 0.0961 | −0.1239 | 0.1661 |
4 | 0.0083 | 0.1827 | 0.0349 | 0.1908 | −0.0929 | 0.2027 |
5 | 0.0084 | 0.1865 | 0.1352 | 0.7251 | −0.4276 | 0.1859 |
6 | 0.0187 | 0.1718 | 0.0647 | 0.3764 | −0.0210 | 0.2321 |
7 | 0.0277 | 0.1191 | 0.1799 | 1.5100 | −0.0566 | 0.2824 |
8 | 0.0396 | 0.1799 | 0.3610 | 2.0070 | −0.0782 | 0.5010 |
9 | 0.0474 | 0.1280 | 0.4184 | 3.2688 | 0.0477 | 0.5685 |
10 | 0.0315 | 0.1473 | 0.4431 | 3.0084 | −0.0792 | 0.5499 |
11 | 0.0307 | 0.1594 | 0.4481 | 2.8103 | −0.0999 | 0.5542 |
12 | 0.0333 | 0.1311 | 0.4383 | 3.3432 | −0.0130 | 0.5632 |
13 | 0.0345 | 0.1168 | 0.4303 | 3.6850 | 0.0256 | 0.5585 |
14 | 0.0313 | 0.0929 | 0.4434 | 4.7717 | 0.1101 | 0.5810 |
15 | 0.0302 | 0.0969 | 0.4145 | 4.2775 | 0.1805 | 0.5837 |
16 | 0.0293 | 0.1045 | 0.4261 | 4.0780 | 0.1108 | 0.5773 |
17 | 0.0275 | 0.0948 | 0.3798 | 4.0069 | 0.1909 | 0.5470 |
18 | 0.0255 | 0.0861 | 0.3870 | 4.4929 | 0.1720 | 0.5359 |
19 | 0.0258 | 0.1009 | 0.3505 | 3.4725 | 0.1820 | 0.5200 |
20 | 0.0234 | 0.0883 | 0.3318 | 3.7591 | 0.1778 | 0.4809 |