Table 8.

Estimated CVD mortality cases avoided based on the change in blood Pb levels from 1999 to 2014 using Ruiz-Hernandez et al. (2017) inputs in the HIM.

Age group	Sex	Avoided CVD deaths in 2014
		Lower estimatea	Central estimate	Higher estimatea
40–49	Male	1,287	3,305	5,556
	Female	479	1,213	2,012
50–59	Male	3,196	8,143	13,577
	Female	1,197	3,020	4,988
60–69	Male	5,377	13,741	22,985
	Female	1,773	4,446	7,292
70–80	Male	5,098	12,841	21,160
	Female	3,370	8,449	13,857
Total (40–80 y)	Male	14,958	38,030	63,278
	Female	6,818	17,128	28,150
	Both	21,777	55,158	91,428

Note: CVD, cardiovascular disease; HIM, health impact model; Pb, lead.

^aLow and high estimates based on the lower and upper bound effect estimates from the Ruiz-Hernandez et al. (2017) 95% confidence interval.