Figure 2:

Projected epidemic curves showing daily case incidence per 100 000 people for the 4 scenarios, with each scenario progressively applying increasing public health measures after restrictive measures are lifted. Note: The green bar represents the period from Mar. 16 to May 10, 2020, corresponding to restrictive closures. The 4 scenarios show the degree to which withdrawing some of the present interventions, while maintaining or enhancing others, would cause Canada to lose control of the epidemic while community transmission is ongoing. Median values are represented by the black line. Each grey line represents 1 model realization out of 50 per scenario. Note: the y-axis scale for the enhanced case detection and contact tracing scenario and the combined interventions scenario is 10 times smaller.