Table 1. Distribution change statistics for nine wildlife species in the New England region of the northeastern United States.
| Species | Mean occurrence probability (2010) | Distribution change (%) in NELFP scenarios by year 2060 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recent Trends | Growing Global | Go It Alone | Yankee Cosmopolitan | Community Connectedness | Average | ||
| American black bear | 0.80 | -15.3 | -19.0 | -11.4 | -17.0 | -13.9 | -15.3 |
| Bobcat | 0.67 | -5.6 | -5.6 | -5.3 | -7.1 | -2.9 | -5.3 |
| Coyote | 0.92 | -3.1 | -2.2 | -3.1 | -3.5 | -2.6 | -2.9 |
| Moose | 0.52 | -51.8 | -28.1 | -19.5 | -62.4 | -42.8 | -40.9 |
| Raccoon | 0.87 | -5.6 | -2.7 | -6.0 | -5.7 | -5.6 | -5.1 |
| Red fox | 0.64 | 29.8 | 30.4 | 29.6 | 29.7 | 30.0 | 29.9 |
| Striped skunk | 0.75 | -6.0 | -1.2 | -6.3 | -6.4 | -5.3 | -5.0 |
| White-tailed deer | 0.89 | 0.5 | -4.1 | -2.2 | 0.2 | -0.7 | -1.3 |
| Wild turkey | 0.68 | -24.0 | -16.7 | -22.3 | -24.2 | -23.2 | -22.1 |
| Average | -10.5 | -4.3 | -7.2 | -12.3 | -8.6 | ||
Mean occurrence probabilities were based on recent (2010) conditions and provide baseline distribution information for the region. Distribution change indicates the percent increase or decrease in regional occurrence probability between species 2010 distribution and each of the NELFP scenario simulated 2060 distributions. For example, black bear average occurrence probability under the recent trends projection (p = 0.68) represented a 15.3% decline in distribution from the recent conditions baseline (p = 0.80). See S1 Table for additional distribution change statistics.