Table 2.
Parameter estimates of the final Multistate Tuberculosis Pharmacometric (MTP) model describing in vivo data
| Parameter | Description | Estimate [RSE (%)] | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFU only | CFU + MPN | ||
| Natural growth | |||
| (days−1) | Growth rate of the fast multiplying state bacteria | 0.804 (18) | 2.62 (8) |
| (days−2) | Second-order time dependent transfer rate between fast- and slow-multiplying state | 0.253 (27) | 0.316 (22) |
| (days−1) | First-order transfer rate between fast- and non-multiplying state | 0.749 × 10–3 (720) | 1.75 (12) |
| (days−1) | First-order transfer rate between slow- and non-multiplying state | 0.206 (42) | 0.183 (18) |
| (days−1) | First-order transfer rate between slow- and fast-multiplying state | 1.82 (65) | 1.82 fix |
| (days−1) | First-order transfer rate between non- and slow-multiplying state | 1.5 × 10–2 (11) | 0.49 × 10–2 (16) |
| F0c (mL−1) | Initial fast-multiplying state bacterial number | 558 (139) | 558 fix |
| S0c (mL−1) | Initial slow-multiplying state bacterial number | 22,500 (20) | 22,500 fix |
| ε (%) | Proportional residual error | 34.6 (10) | 36.9 (9) |
Parameter values are presented as applied to colony forming unit (CFU) only and to CFU plus most probable number (MPN) dataRSE = relative standard error reported on the approximate standard deviation scale
a
b
cFixed to value estimated from CFU observations alone
All final model codes (Supplemental Code. S3-S5) and datasets (Supplemental Datasets S6-S8) used for the model-development is included as supplementary information