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. 2020 Jun 1;47(5):421–430. doi: 10.1007/s10928-020-09694-0

Table 2.

Parameter estimates of the final Multistate Tuberculosis Pharmacometric (MTP) model describing in vivo data

Parameter Description Estimate [RSE (%)]
CFU only CFU + MPN
Natural growth
kGa (days−1) Growth rate of the fast multiplying state bacteria 0.804 (18) 2.62 (8)
kFSLinb(days−2) Second-order time dependent transfer rate between fast- and slow-multiplying state 0.253 (27) 0.316 (22)
kFN (days−1) First-order transfer rate between fast- and non-multiplying state 0.749 × 10–3 (720) 1.75 (12)
kSN (days−1) First-order transfer rate between slow- and non-multiplying state 0.206 (42) 0.183 (18)
kSF (days−1) First-order transfer rate between slow- and fast-multiplying state 1.82 (65) 1.82 fix
kNS (days−1) First-order transfer rate between non- and slow-multiplying state 1.5 × 10–2 (11) 0.49 × 10–2 (16)
F0c (mL−1) Initial fast-multiplying state bacterial number 558 (139) 558 fix
S0c (mL−1) Initial slow-multiplying state bacterial number 22,500 (20) 22,500 fix
ε (%) Proportional residual error 34.6 (10) 36.9 (9)

Parameter values are presented as applied to colony forming unit (CFU) only and to CFU plus most probable number (MPN) dataRSE = relative standard error reported on the approximate standard deviation scale

agrowth=F·kG

bkFS=kFSLin

cFixed to value estimated from CFU observations alone

All final model codes (Supplemental Code. S3-S5) and datasets (Supplemental Datasets S6-S8) used for the model-development is included as supplementary information