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. 2020 Sep 28;68:191–198. doi: 10.1016/j.eap.2020.09.014

Table 4.

Results from a VAR model. This table reports results from a VAR model in which stock price returns and exchange rate returns are endogenous while all control variables are exogenous including the contemporaneous exchange rate returns, β. Two lags are used in the VAR model based on the schwarz information criterion. We only report the null hypothesis that β=0—both the slope coefficient and the t-statistic are reported for the three sample periods, namely the COVID-19 sample (31/12/2019 to 17/8/2020); the pre-COVID-19 Sample A (04/1/2010 to 30/12/2019); and the pre-COVID-19 Sample B (31/12/2018 to 16/8/2019). A total of three models are estimated: (a) model with no controls, (b) model with day-of-the-week (DOW) controls only, and (c) model with both the DOW and oil price growth (GOIL) controls.

Panel A: Post-COVID-19 period
No controls DOW controls DOW+GOIL controls
β=0 1.1092⁎⁎⁎
(4.7385)
1.0356⁎⁎⁎
(4.6026)
1.1068⁎⁎⁎
(4.8141)
R2 16.5% 24.6% 20.4%

Panel B: Pre-COVID-19 Sample A

No controls DOW controls DOW+GOIL controls

β=0 1.2532⁎⁎⁎
(33.8591)
1.2297⁎⁎⁎
(33.2836)
1.2538
(33.8447)
R2 31.28% 32.44% 31.32%

Panel A: Pre-COVID-19 Sample B

No controls DOW controls DOW+GOIL controls

β=0 1.2492⁎⁎⁎
(9.1889)
1.2031⁎⁎⁎
(8.6716)
1.2414⁎⁎⁎
(9.1407)
R2 34.52% 36.98% 35.89%
***

Denotes statistical significance at the 1% level.