Figure 8.

PDFs and likelihood functions based upon the assessment of individual climate feedbacks and the emergent constraint literature. (a) PDF for λ from combining evidence on individual feedbacks using the Baseline λ _i prior. (b) Emergent constraint likelihood for λ. Note that this likelihood is not a PDF. See section 3.6 for an explanation of how the parameters of this likelihood function were determined and why they differ from the parameters recorded in Table 2. (c) PDF for S from combining evidence on ∆F _2xCO2 and individual feedbacks using uniform λ _i priors.