Table 2.
N = 1012* |
Endpoint: death |
Endpoint: ICU admission |
Combined endpoint |
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Unadjusted |
Adjusted3 |
Unadjusted |
Adjusted4 |
Unadjusted |
Adjusted5* |
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Model | Drug use | HR | 95% CI | p-value | HR | 95% CI | p-value | HR | 95% CI | p-value | HR | 95% CI | p-value | HR | 95% CI | p-value | HR | 95% CI | p-value |
Overall1 | None (ref) | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||||||||||||
CQ | 0.64 | 0.47–0.88 | 0.007 | 1.01 | 0.71–1.44 | 0.937 | 1.50 | 1.05–2.13 | 0.024 | 0.91 | 0.63–1.31 | 0.619 | 0.94 | 0.74–1.18 | 0.590 | 0.97 | 0.75–1.24 | 0.795 | |
HCQ | 0.62 | 0.41–0.93 | 0.020 | 0.92 | 0.58–1.46 | 0.736 | 0.82 | 0.49–1.37 | 0.453 | 0.56 | 0.33–0.95 | 0.031 | 0.69 | 0.50–0.95 | 0.023 | 0.73 | 0.51–1.02 | 0.068 | |
Weighted Competing risk2 | None (ref) | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | |||||||||||||||
CQ | 0.86 | 0.61–1.21 | 0.392 | 0.99 | 0.70–1.43 | 0.991 | 0.93 | 0.64–1.35 | 0.708 | 0.80 | 0.55–1.15 | 0.207 | 0.85 | 0.67–1.10 | 0.205 | 0.85 | 0.66–1.10 | 0.224 | |
HCQ | 0.87 | 0.58–1.32 | 0.518 | 0.96 | 0.63–1.45 | 0.681 | 0.52 | 0.30–0.89 | 0.017 | 0.47 | 0.27–0.82 | 0.008 | 0.66 | 0.48–0.91 | 0.011 | 0.68 | 0.49–0.95 | 0.024 |
1Cox regression model without propensity score (PS) adjustment and competing regression analysis; 2competing risk regression with weighted PS adjustment (see statistical method section for explanation of the different models); HR = hazard ratio; CI = confidence interval; CQ = chloroquine; HCQ = hydroxychloroquine; *total number of patients in the analysis; 3,4,5adjusted for gender, age, comorbidity CVA, comorbidity diabetes, comorbidity asthma/COPD, use of broad-spectrum antibiotics, therapeutic anticoagulation, prophylactic anticoagulation, first day in ED, ICU restriction.
All analyses except the competing risks regression were stratified by ICU restriction to reflect underlying potential differences in adverse incidences and risk factor prevalences.