Table 2.
Algorithm | OR | 95% CI | AUC (95% CI) | Sensitivity (95% CI) | Specificity (95% CI) | Age# OR (95% CI) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A. CDC clinical criteria⁎ met plus composite laboratory criteria 1§ | 17.44 | 3.67–82.75 | 0.81 (0.69–0.92) | 0.78 (0.72–0.84) | 0.83 (0.62–1.00) | 0.86 (0.76–0.97) |
B. Institutional clinical criteria¥ met plus composite laboratory criteria 2^ | 19.65 | 5.35–72.08 | 0.78 (0.65–0.93) | 0.91 (0.87–0.95) | 0.67 (0.40–0.93) | 0.87 (0.77–0.99) |
C. CDC clinical criteria⁎ met plus compisite laboratory criteria 2^ | 60.71 | 12.10–304.66 | 0.88 (0.77–0.99) | 0.92 (0.89–0.96) | 0.83 (0.62–1.00) | 0.91 (0.79–1.04) |
D. Institutional clinical criteria¥ met plus composite laboratory criteria 1§ | 5.83 | 1.68–20.25 | 0.71 (0.56–0.85) | 0.74 (0.68–0.81) | 0.67 (0.40–0.93) | 0.84 (0.75–0.95) |
Abbreviations: AUC, area under the curve; CDC, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; CI, confidence interval; CRP, c-reactive protein; PED, pediatric emergency department; MIS-C, multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children; OR, odds ratio.
CDC clinical criteria defined as fever ≥24 h plus ≥2 systems involved at the time of PED presentation.
Lab criteria 1: CRP & high-sensitivity Troponin I & ferritin all above cut-points, defined as CRP ≥ 87.5 mg/L; troponin I ≥ 17 ng/L; ferritin ≥121.6 ng/mL.
Institutional clinical criteria defined as fever ≥48 h plus one of the following: gastrointestinal features (abdominal pain, vomiting, diarrhea), mucocutaneous features (rash, conjunctivitis, erythema of oral/pharyngeal mucosa), or lymphadenopathy.
Lab criteria 2: [CRP & d-dimer & ferritin] OR troponin I above the optimal cut-point, defined as CRP ≥ 87.5 mg/L; troponin I, high sensitivity ≥17 ng/L; ferritin ≥121.6 ng/mL; d-dimer ≥1.07 mg/L fibrinogen equivalent units (FEU).
Effect per 1 year increase in age when added to corresponding clinical/laboratory model.