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. 2020 Sep 30;68:104310. doi: 10.1016/j.jlp.2020.104310

Table 3.

The risk of epidemic infections in selected regions (Risk of infection = Impact in terms of infections x probability of occurrence of the impact).

Countries/ities Parameters No Measure Interventions implemented after one week
Intervention implemented after one month
School/Universities/non-essential business closure With Public Emergency/Lockdown School/Universities/non-essential business closure With Public Emergency/Lockdown
Ontario Peak Risk (Infections per day) 1.39 × 103 3.00 × 10° 3.00 × 10° 4.30 × 101 3.90 × 101
Cumulative Risk (Total Infections) 4.26 × 104 1.22 × 102 2.00 × 101 2.07 × 103 5.64 × 102
British Columbia Peak Risk (Infections per day) 4.47 × 103 48.00 × 10° 48.00 × 10° 9.99 × 102 6.53 × 102
Cumulative Risk (Total Infections) 1.29 × 105 1.70 × 103 3.28 × 102 1.53 × 104 6.45 × 103
Italy Peak Risk (Infections per day) 8.62 × 105 9.53 × 104 4.00 × 10° 4.55 × 105 1.20 × 101
Cumulative Risk (Total Infections) 1.18 × 107 3.66 × 106 7.60 × 101 8.08 × 106 2.70 × 102
Germany Peak Risk (Infections per day) 4.26 × 104 3.00 × 10° 3.00 × 10° 4.26 × 104 4.26 × 104
Cumulative Risk (Total Infections) 2.31 × 105 1.40 × 102 2.20 × 101 2.31 × 105 2.31 × 105