Table 3.

Results of the Random Slop Model (Outcome Variable = Percent Reduction in Trips to Grocery Store and Pharmacy, During the Shelter-in-Place Order, Per Day).

Variable	Coefficient	Standard Error	t-ratio	p-value
Intercept	−39.070	14.519	−2.691	0.008
% Voted in 2016 presidential election	0.211	0.049	4.293	0.000
% of college & higher educated	0.293	0.035	8.368	0.000
% of Male	0.527	0.268	1.965	0.049
Compactness Index	0.093	0.022	4.156	0.000
% of votes for Trump in 2016	0.010	0.033	0.296	0.767
VMT January 2020 Avg. (per 10,000 population)	0.000	0.000	0.341	0.733
% of Children	−0.493	0.101	−4.895	0.000
% of Hispanics	0.183	0.037	4.892	0.000
Unemployment change (Mar. 2020–Feb. 2020)	0.014	0.015	0.961	0.337
# of Groceries per sq. mi.	−0.730	0.260	−2.805	0.006
ln of metropolitan population	0.485	0.201	2.408	0.016
# of days (stay-home order start till day X)
Base	0.105	0.047	2.205	0.028
% of voted for Trump in 2016	−0.004	0.001	−7.256	0.000
# of days (stay-home order start till day X) (Squared)	−0.001	0.001	−0.879	0.380
Likelihood Ratio Test
n	739
Chi-square statistic	980.972
Number of degrees of freedom	5
P-value	0.000