Table 3.
Evaluation Indexes | Describing | Type | Equation | Unit | Range | Optimal value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean Absolute Error (MAE) | the average magnitude of the forecast errors | statistical | mm | [0~∞) | 0 | |
correlation coefficient (R) | the degree of collinearity between observed precipitation data and the gridded products | statistical | NA | [-1~1] | 1 | |
BIAS score (BIAS) | the ratio of the frequency of forecast events to the frequency of observed events | categorical | NA | [0~∞) | 1 | |
False Alarm Ratio (FAR) | the fraction of events, detected by the product but not observed | categorical | NA | [0~1] | 0 | |
Probability Of Detection (POD) | the fraction of the observed precipitation events, which were detected by the assessed product | categorical | NA | [0~1] | 1 | |
Probability Of False Detection (POFD) | the fraction of the number of the precipitation events detected by the products but not observed by rain gauge stations | categorical | NA | [0~1] | 0 | |
Critical Success Index (CSI) | the proportion of events that were predicted correctly | categorical | NA | [0~1] | 1 | |
Heidke Skill Score (HSS) | the fractional improvement of the forecast over the standard forecast | categorical | NA | [-1~1] | 1 |
Note: N is the number of samples; Oi is the observed precipitation, Pi is the estimated precipitation from the evaluated products, Ōi and Pi are the average of corresponding data during N events.