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. 2020 Oct 1;415:132753. doi: 10.1016/j.physd.2020.132753

Table 2.

Comparison of complete opening vs. full closure for various values of the external rate of infection α. Cases include asymptomatic. An initial screening is assumed so that there are no active cases at school start. Column 2 indicates cases per million in the surrounding area; the correspondence with α is based on an average contact rate (see Section 2.3).

α[h1] Cases per million % cases at school end
Number of cases by 60 days
in a school of 1000
Remote In-class Remote In-class
108 0.5 0.006 0.1 0 0
107 5 0.06 1 0 1
106 50 0.67 7.1 1 7
105 500 6.5 27.33 14 64
2×105 1110 12.57 37.80 28 115
104 5000 48.93 70.51 134 353
103 50000 99.87 99.81 753 859